re: Elon Musk outlines his master plan 2.0

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maybe you could comment on this more because I always respect your tech analysis but my fiancees brother works in AI and he told me the reason why self driving cars wont ever happen is because its literally impossible to judge intent. He said something to the effect of if a car was backing out of a driveway an autonomous car would just freeze up because it wouldn't know the intent of that driver backing up and if you have a ton of these situations in real life you'd get a problem. He said there was just no way to have full autonomy ever.

I love Musks plan, if he had apples balance sheet and hundreds of billions to burn through trying this stuff out Id love it even more, but my issue is Tesla balance sheet looks awful and now next week the gigafactory opens and they're having a party and its like 14 or 17% complete. Even yesterday he was like 45 minutes late on his release of this master plan and it just seems like he can never get anything done on time.

I guess its one of those love the company, hate the stock situations for me

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It will be possible, human brains recognize patterns, and computers can process exponentially more data than the human brain now and in the future. The development of AI has followed a steady and predictable curve since the 70s - and the point at which they will have the processing power to decipher patterns at a real time level is somewhere in the 2030s.

Anyone who says AI "cant do this" or "its impossible to do that" simply hasn't followed the data that is out there.