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re: Where LSU stands compared to at-large tourney teams since 2008
Posted on 3/9/16 at 1:30 pm to ChunkyLover54
Posted on 3/9/16 at 1:30 pm to ChunkyLover54
quote:
So...for whatever those stats are worth, it's possible but as an indicator our RPI kills us, comparatively
There is a reason LSU's RPI is so low. They played a bad non-conf. schedule (SOS 200). That in and of itself doesn't always kill you. However, when you combine a bad schedule with several losses to those weak teams, you find yourself in a BIG hole.
LSU's schedule left them very little room for error in Nov/Dec. The blew through that margin of error by losing 5 games to weak teams (Houston is the only one of that group with an RPI better than 100)
You get credit for scheduling tough OOC games (obviously you get even more if you win a few of those). That's why Bama and Florida have managed to stay around the bubble even though they struggled in SEC play. It's why LSU was a #4 seed in 2006 even though some other teams had better records.
If you are going to put together a shitty schedule, you better win damn near all of the games. Like South Carolina did. Otherwise, you run the risk of torpedoing your tournament chances before you even get to the much tougher conf. play.
Posted on 3/9/16 at 4:16 pm to Alt26
quote:
There is a reason LSU's RPI is so low. They played a bad non-conf. schedule (SOS 200).
Agreed but some of that is luck of the draw. In many other years, NCstate and Marquette could have been bound for the Dance and not considered bad losses. Same for Wake Forest back in the day. Bottom line is the Tigers should have beaten those three teams as well as CoC and Houston. They were favored in all of those games. Had they taken care of business they'd be looking at a 7 or 8 seed lock right now and need zero wins in the SECT. Even with all those bad losses, just take care of 'Bama at home and either UT, Arky or USCe on the road and they'd be a lock. By far, CJJ's worst year of coaching.
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