I actually think it's on the modest side. Remember, we only scored 13 passing TDs and bring back our most experience at WR since 2006. Harris in his second year of starting, Guice in his second year should get more carries. At several times this year (most notably vs Arkansas when Hawkins got injured and the following game vs Ole Miss where he was out and Weathersby started), we had 3 freshman (two true freshman) starting at the same time on the OL.

Let's say Harris gets to 20 passing TDs in 12 games, Fournette goes to 25 rush TDs, and Guice goes to 6 TDs. Keeping everything else the same (2 defensive TDs, 1 S/T TD, 13 FGs) and just adding those extra 13 TDs will increase LSU's scoring from 32.8 to 40.4 ppg.

Put it simply, IMO, that is an increase I would expect for all of these guys. Fournette averaged nearly 2 TDs per game and when Guice was given any decent amount of carries, he showed out. Harris was hurt the last 5 or so games and he was only a sophomore in his 1st starting year. I actually thought he wouldn't have to start til 2016 because he was so raw in high school. The ridiculous amount of WR drops killed him early and injury and pass blocking vs way tougher competition killed him late. I also think limiting his passing early on only made it worse because all of the passing game components (from QB to pass blocking, to pass catchers) definitely needed much more in game reps.

On defense, it's crazy low. Returning the entie DL and even the backups have some good experience, plus we return our MLB in Beckwith which gives us a strong run defense. Secondary 2 deep is damn near untouched which is almost the same as returning the entire two deep on DL. Thornton, Divinity and Anthony are legit OLB prospects and all look like they will get immediate play time and at least one will start. Aranda being here I know that the LB spot will be incredible as he had two freshman starting for him this year and the true freshman was the top tackler on the team. My favorite part outside of seeing Key possibly break LSU sack records, is Aranda going back to man coverage defense. This killed our corners who we recruited to run a man coverage and left safeties who normally wouldn't have to pick up the slack, out of position (most notably, 1st time starter Jefferson). With the experience we have on the entire two deep and loaded recruited class, we should be somewhere in that 16-18 ppg range.