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re: What in the hell was Larry Fedora doing?
Posted on 12/6/15 at 8:12 am to TJG210
Posted on 12/6/15 at 8:12 am to TJG210
Conventional wisdom says to wait until the last possible moment to chase points. By continuing go kick XPs he guaranteed he would have a one score game. If he went for two and failed on the last TD, he would be down by 9 and it's a two score game.
4
Posted on 12/6/15 at 8:47 am to TheMightyTerrier
quote:wait, what? Logic would dictate the opposite.
Conventional wisdom says to wait until the last possible moment to chase points. By continuing go kick XPs he guaranteed he would have a one score game. If he went for two and failed on the last TD, he would be down by 9 and it's a two score game.
I'll preface this by stating it probably didn't matter much in last night's specific examples cause UNC scored with like 1 minute left and kicked the extra point to go down 8.
But let's assume there was 6-7 minutes left, how in the world does conventional wisdom dictate on going for 2 later? The end result of that is often times being down 8,playing like you're down 1 possession when in reality you're more than 50% likely to be down 2 possessions. Since you play like you're down 1 possession, you score very late, miss the 2pt conversion and now you don't have enough time to make up for it.
If you're down 15 with 5-10 minutes to play, you go for 2 on the 1st TD so you can obtain more information earlier and you know for certain whether you're down 7 or 9, so you know if you need to rush things if you're down 9, or you can be a bit more relaxed in your approach down 7.
Posted on 12/6/15 at 8:53 am to TheMightyTerrier
quote:.
Conventional wisdom says to wait until the last possible moment to chase points. By continuing go kick XPs he guaranteed he would have a one score game. If he went for two and failed on the last TD, he would be down
Ding Ding Ding, We have a winner. You can't go for two early and go down by two scores. Any chance you have ends with a failed attempt. Why not wait until the last moment?
Posted on 12/6/15 at 9:05 am to TheMightyTerrier
Conventional wisdom says to wait until the last possible moment to chase points.
Conventional wisdom is often wrong.
Conventional wisdom is often wrong.
Posted on 12/6/15 at 9:21 am to TheMightyTerrier
quote:Right. With the benefit of hindsight, we're talking about a game that's in the third quarter, and 68 points have been scored. For a near ping pong match like this, you don't chase points like that just yet. As it turns out, Fedora needed his defense to hold Clemson to a field goal on one of their scoring drives, and they did just that, making it a 15-point game, setting up your two-possession comeback just fine if it's to happen.
Conventional wisdom says to wait until the last possible moment to chase points. By continuing go kick XPs he guaranteed he would have a one score game. If he went for two and failed on the last TD, he would be down by 9 and it's a two score game.
Now, I could understand going for two a little more in say, last nights B1GCG. If it's 17-6 in the third quarter, and you score making it 17-12, maybe you go for two there because you probably aren't going to be that close to the end zone again, and trusting your defense to tighten up is a better gamble in this game than in last night's ACCCG.
This all reminds me of the LSU Ole Miss game in 2010. End 3rd, Ole Miss leads 24-23.
LSU scores, making it 24-29, goes for two, fails.
Ole Miss scores, making it 30-29, goes for two, fails.
LSU scores, making it 30-35, goes for two, fails.
Ole Miss scores, making it 36-35, goes for two, fails.
LSU scores, making it 36-41, goes for two, converts, wins 36-43.
This post was edited on 12/6/15 at 9:22 am
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