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re: IMO The calls/no-calls go in LSU's favor Saturday

Posted on 11/4/15 at 1:10 pm to
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
33623 posts
Posted on 11/4/15 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

LSU is still the SEC's best chance.


I don't agree. If Bama beats LSU and then goes on to win the SEC Title game, they will be an extremely strong candidate - almost a shoe-in I would argue.

"Vegas" is simply saying that that is a much more likely scenario than LSU beating Bama and then also surviving the rest of their brutal schedule intact.

I mean, even if you charitably assume 100% chance LSU beats Arkansas and 80% that it wins all other games (including Bama and SEC title against UF), then you still only get a 40% chance of LSU surviving unscathed.

The reality is that LSU is in a very precipitous spot and the odds are not on their side. But, that's why they play the games.
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