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Started By
Message
re: .
Posted on 2/22/16 at 11:26 am to TheSexecutioner
Posted on 2/22/16 at 11:26 am to TheSexecutioner
quote:
In accordance with the rules, Vanilla should have roughly an expected value of $83 (1/2^3 *400 +1/2^3*150 +1/2^2*50) just by clinching the 6th seed. He did pay $50 to be alright with getting hosed out of the 6th seed if the rules posted dictate he had a 3 game path to the championship.
wut? 
1
Posted on 2/22/16 at 11:38 am to Gtothemoney
quote:
wut?
What do you not understand? Assuming a 50/50 chance of winning each game, there is a 1/4 chance for the 2 teams with a bye to win both 1st, 2nd and 3rd sand a 1/8 chance for the teams without a bye to win 1st, 2nd, and 3rd
Ah math, was slightly off. Should be 1/2^3*50 for the last one. Still $77. Well over $50.
So basically, if the playoffs was simulated randomly 1000 times, Vanilla would on average win $77. If his team is better than average, he would win more. If it was worse than average, he would win less. He is 4th in points in the league, so $77 seems about right. In any event, its definitely higher than $50.
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