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re: Season Record Prediction Using Mathematical Analysis of Point Spreads 2015

Posted on 8/21/15 at 2:57 pm to
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
5581 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

quote:

quote:

When you add those probabilities up (you shouldn't btw) you end up with the probability of LSU winning ANY INDIVIDUAL game as .86

Wrong. You're not even close.

And your math is WRONG.

If the average likelihood of winning a game is 86%, t
good god man, Why are you taking averages at this point?


Because YOU are the moron that said LSU has a probability of winning ANY INDIVIDUAL game as .86


quote:

your conclusion was 8.6 games because you got a probability of 0.86.
There you go again with that Straw Man Fallacy. I know what I did, and I know what I said. I NEVER said anything about 0.86.

By the way, you do understand that 0.86 - 86% and 8.6 = 860%? You do know that, right?


Why do you keep failing to show YOUR analysis and YOUR conclusion?!?!

You continue to post in this thread, but you continue to fail to show YOUR analysis and YOUR conclusion.

Are you saying it CANNOT be done, or are you saying that you DON'T KNOW how to do it?
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

Because YOU are the moron that said LSU has a probability of winning ANY INDIVIDUAL game as .86


moron, I got that from the equation I have now given to you more than ten times.

You may not like the equation, but it is a RULE of probability.

quote:

There you go again with that Straw Man Fallacy. I know what I did, and I know what I said. I NEVER said anything about 0.86.

By the way, you do understand that 0.86 - 86% and 8.6 = 860%? You do know that, right?



wow. You literally have no idea what you're doing. Have a great weekend.

quote:

Are you saying it CANNOT be done, or are you saying that you DON'T KNOW how to do it?


Keep repeating this logical fallacy, it makes you seem soooo smart.
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