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re: High School coach who never punts is trying something new
Posted on 8/19/15 at 12:47 am to tduecen
Posted on 8/19/15 at 12:47 am to tduecen
Did he really not already assume that the team with more 20 yards plays has a decent winning percentage? Thats just common sense. Teams that have more first downs probably win usually too. Those are signs of a better team.
This post was edited on 8/19/15 at 12:52 am
Posted on 8/19/15 at 10:29 am to beaverfever
quote:
Did he really not already assume that the team with more 20 yards plays has a decent winning percentage? Thats just common sense.
Not really
There are a lot of other metrics like turnover margin, total yards, red zone success that could be deemed very important.
The fact that he discovered there was that strong of a correlation between this one statistic is pretty interesting.
Posted on 8/19/15 at 1:10 pm to beaverfever
quote:Exactly. The "more plays over 20 yards than an opponent" is essentially an indicator variable of team's quality and performance. Clearly having more big plays is a good goal anyways, but just arbitrarily increasing 20 yard plays as an outcome with maximum inherent value seems like a misinterpretation and extrapolation of the data.
Did he really not already assume that the team with more 20 yards plays has a decent winning percentage? Thats just common sense. Teams that have more first downs probably win usually too. Those are signs of a better team.
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