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re: HR results from the flat seam baseball
Posted on 6/25/15 at 3:56 pm to southeasttiger113
Posted on 6/25/15 at 3:56 pm to southeasttiger113
13.6% of teams who hit 40 HRs one year (22) hit at least 20 more the next.
18.4% of all teams (293) hit at least 20 more the next year.
Why is it so crazy that LSU should be a part of this group? Why is that such a bad guess when that's exactly what a guess is? Look at who we lost and who we had back?
Isn't that where all this started? Do I need to link every BS post you made in the other thread where you swore the bats were too shitty to see any real difference and that you would be shocked to see a 10% increase. Even though now you are pretending like you were expecting that all along.
Scivicque's average went up 50 points but his HR total went DOWN! Anomaly. Hale's average went up over 20 points but his HR total stayed the same. Anomaly.
This is why we don't have 60. Not because "everyone else averaged 9!". That is very shortsighted.
We went from 30th in HR/G to 49th! If we had just kept the status quo.. remained at 30th, guess what??!?! We would have 60 HRs. SHOCKING!!!!!
18.4% of all teams (293) hit at least 20 more the next year.
Why is it so crazy that LSU should be a part of this group? Why is that such a bad guess when that's exactly what a guess is? Look at who we lost and who we had back?
Isn't that where all this started? Do I need to link every BS post you made in the other thread where you swore the bats were too shitty to see any real difference and that you would be shocked to see a 10% increase. Even though now you are pretending like you were expecting that all along.
Scivicque's average went up 50 points but his HR total went DOWN! Anomaly. Hale's average went up over 20 points but his HR total stayed the same. Anomaly.
This is why we don't have 60. Not because "everyone else averaged 9!". That is very shortsighted.
We went from 30th in HR/G to 49th! If we had just kept the status quo.. remained at 30th, guess what??!?! We would have 60 HRs. SHOCKING!!!!!
This post was edited on 6/25/15 at 4:00 pm
Posted on 6/25/15 at 4:08 pm to ell_13
quote:Because thats not what you were arguing you fricking idiot. It's completely reasonable to hope that LSU was going to hit 20 more home runs from other factors because it's entirely possible and not unheard of, but we're posting in a thread right now that you started titled "HR results from the flat seam baseball" where you argued that LSU should've hit 60+ HR's from the ball alone. Go look at your OP dumbfrick.
Why is it so crazy that LSU should be a part of this group? Why is that such a bad guess when that's exactly what a guess is? Look at who we lost and who we had back?
quote:No, we don't have 60 because, as you posted, most of the teams in the top 50 hit around the same amount of home runs and only 3 hit 20 more. It was unlikely. Let's look at why your prediction was fricking stupid:
his is why we don't have 60. Not because "everyone else averaged 9!". That is very shortsighted.
quote:To put it another way: 3 out of 300 teams hit 40 home runs and followed it up by gaining 20+. 1% of all teams in baseball. You're saying that I'm stupid because I said we weren't going to do what only 1% of teams in the NCAA did, and when it turned out I was right, you're still sitting here arguing with me?
13.6% of teams who hit 40 HRs one year (22) hit at least 20 more the next.
If somebody put 300 balls in a box, 297 white and 3 red, and said that you'd get $1,000,000,000 if you drew red but they'd instantly blow your brains out if you drew white, would you say that those are good enough odds to make a bet on? No, they're terrible odds. As I've been saying, the odds were terrible that we were going to go from 40 to 60 home runs, new balls or not. Your prediction was stupid and I've posted enough stats to last you a lifetime on this topic and all you've done is reach and crawfish. Congrats on being that guy that doesn't know when to shut the frick up and take the L
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