re: LSU basketball wins 30 games next year

If I had to say today, I would guess that we would clock in around 25 or 26 wins. This is assuming both Martin and Mickey bolt and no Malik Newman. In every year of CJJ's tenure, there has always been those WTF kind of losses. However, there are also the wins that no one expects (i.e Arkansas this season, Butler last season).

I'd like to think that Simmons and Blakeney are good enough to overcome the WTF losses; however, the level of competition they're facing will be tougher than what they're used to. Also, the lack of a serviceable big man beyond Victor is concerning. Hopefully, Elbert can come into his own in that regard.

I think if we stay injury free and win the games we're supposed to, we could be looking at a 4 seed in the tourney. Hell, given the TJ era from a few years ago, a 4 seed seems like the promised land.