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re: Saturday vs Ole Miss just got THAT much bigger

Posted on 2/26/15 at 1:21 pm to
Posted by LSUButt
Lowcountry
Member since Jan 2006
14930 posts
Posted on 2/26/15 at 1:21 pm to
And if you used reading comprehension, I said specifically I don't want them to lose. But if you're good enough to be an 8 seed and you're a 10 seed, that's a huge advantage
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28476 posts
Posted on 2/26/15 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

And if you used reading comprehension, I said specifically I don't want them to lose. But if you're good enough to be an 8 seed and you're a 10 seed, that's a huge advantage


Not really. It just means that you avoid the "giant" in the first weekend of the tournament.

Actually, the number show that if the #8 gets by the #1, they have a good chance at going deep into the tournament. In tournament history #8 seeds have a winning record against every other seed but #1's and 3 & 12 seeds in a very small sample size (0-2 vs. 3 seeds; 0-1 vs. 12 seeds)

Conversely, a 10 seed has never made it to the Final Four and the only seeds 10's have winning records against are 14 and 15.

11 seeds have been pretty good at beating #1 seeds if they get to that point (which is always in Elite 8) winning 50% of the time. The problem is that in addition to having losing records against 6 seeds, they don't fare very well against 2's and 3's at all.

All of this "fear" of the 8 seed goes back to LSU in 2009. The problem wasn't that LSU had to play the #1 seed right away, it's that they had to play the best #1 seed that year. Remember, for as good as that 2009 team seemed to be they only beat 2 teams all season who made it to the NCAAT (1 was a weak Miss. St. team who only made it because they shockingly won the SECT). For all of this team's inconsistency, sloppy play, dumb decisions, NO ONE, not event he clear best team in the country has been able to soundly beat LSU. This group is the potential "A" student who is just happy to make "C's" if he doesn't have to try. On the occasions they are motivated this team can be hell to play
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