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re: The Lesson of Oil

Posted on 12/29/14 at 11:09 pm to
Posted by boosiebadazz
Member since Feb 2008
80481 posts
Posted on 12/29/14 at 11:09 pm to
I got lost in macroeconomics and just got by in intro finance classes, so I'm hanging on by a tenuous thread here, but I'm still not understanding why the bad, high-yield debt the E&P companies have is going to drive up the cost of capital in other sectors.

In my non-finance brain, I would think that the suppliers of capital (the institutional investors buying the bonds) would then look for other places to place their money. If I am in a non-E&P sector, I can offer my bonds at a lower rate because I just lost a competitor (E&P companies) in the marketplace.

Also, I'm about 40% confident what I just posted makes any lick of sense, so if I'm super far off the reservation, just don't even worry about walking me back
Posted by Lou Pai
Member since Dec 2014
28179 posts
Posted on 12/30/14 at 9:07 pm to
Well in the long term that does make sense, and my inclination is that markets will normalize to reflect what you are saying. But in the short term, the downward pressure is going to cause a selloff of institutional money (etfs, mutual funds, etc.) that will drive down bond prices and drive up yields.

frick les miles btw
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