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re: John Wall has been on a tear since Beal returned

Posted on 12/17/14 at 7:27 am to
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5253 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 7:27 am to
quote:

2 more assists, 1.5 more rebs, 1 more blocks, scoring more efficiently and playing better defense = playing better. Hes responsible for more points scored, either by scoring himself or assisting, with a lower usage rate, shooting the ball less and scoring the ball more efficiently.


No, he doesn't have 1 more block. He has .7 more blocks and .2 less steals. He is more. Shooting the ball less is only a good thing if the guy shooting it/turning it over instead of you is more efficient than your additional shots. From a guard, I probably take 3 extra points on 43% shooting over 46%.

quote:

And his 3pt% without Beal was 25%, with Beal its 37.5%


So his 2 point FG% is probably worse with Beal. And a putrid 25% was surely going to correct itself anyway with a bigger sample size. If not, he wouldn't be shooting in the first place.

quote:

Before Beal returned from injury, Wall was at 43% which is right around his career average. Since Beal returned, hes been shooting 45.8% which is by far the best of his career. And over an 82game season, that 2% difference adds up.


Like I said, its probably literally 1 shot. Not 1 shot per game. 1 shot on the season going in versus not. Does 2% add up over the course of a season? yeah, a very small bit. But that sample size is so small that "saying over an 82 game season" is not relevant.

You want to know a statistic that isn't substantially effected by literally 1 play on a sample size that big? Turnovers. And he has an extra one of those per game since Beal has returned.

quote:

And look at his last 9 games....16.8ppg, 12.8assists, 5.8rebs, 1.5blocks, 2.0steals, and shooting 48.6%. Thats 3.7assists more, almost 2 rebs more, 1 block more, and more efficient scorer by a good margin.


That is impressive. And doesn't point to Beal does it? As I said, just make a thread that he is playing well this year. Or make a thread he's having a good stretch.

So with Beal, he's scoring less points on a comparable field goal percentage, has a worse assist to turnover ratio, grabs a rebound and a half more per game(not really an important statistic for a PG, especially over a small sample size. Their rebounds typically aren't contested.) has more blocks and less steals. I'd say its about a wash.

quote:

The 1 thing that people have knocked John Wall for is his lack of efficiency.


Yeah, and I'm sure the people knocking him for that are so thrilled with his 2% increase in shooting percentage since Beal came back that they don't care about the extra turnover per game.
This post was edited on 12/17/14 at 7:29 am
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