re: OFFICIAL NCAA FB Bet thread (Bowl Games Edition)

Here are the standing in my Stupid Underdog league:

1. 92.5
2. 89
3. 86
t4. 83.5
t4. 83.5
6. 81.5
7 (me). 80
8. 78.5
9. 74.5
10. 70.5
11-195. out of it at this point

The deal is we get three picks for the bowl season. You can't see anybody else's picks, though.

Right now I'm going with
Louisville for 7 points
FSU for 9.5 points
Maryland for 14 points

Here is what I'm wrestling with: do I ditch Maryland and go with another game in the 7 point range that is more likely to hit, or do I stick with Maryland and hope for the greater reward?

If I were to ditch Maryland, I would probably go with GT or LSU in their place. Prolly GT.

7 spots are getting paid out this year, but with first place getting the lion's share of the pot, which, with nearly 200 people in the league, is not insubstantial. I won the league outright last year and it paid me over 3K. The league has more people this year than last. I would love to win again this year, and though it isn't likely, it also isn't outside the realm of possibility.

What do y'all think about my Maryland conundrum?


ETA: if I ditch Maryland, I actually think I might go with ECU. Or perhaps even ditch Louisville for ECU now, and then make my decision come down to either Louisville or Maryland.