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Started By
Message
Posted on 11/5/14 at 12:06 am to KosmoCramer
quote:
H W Bush took Illinois, Michigan, Maine, and Maryland.
26 years ago.
quote:
It's all cyclical.
It would have cycled back by now.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 12:11 am to KosmoCramer
I think the Midwest (OH, MI, WI, MO, Iowa, and maybe - just maybe - Illinois) will actually be trending back a bit purpleish-red over the next generation. I live in Illinois and some of the political self-loathing you hear around here is almost funny; people are so sick of what the local status quo here that a change - any change in any direction - is wanted. The unions have been dying a slow death, but it's getting ever closer, and the demographics set up well for the GOP around here.
I think you'll see it somewhat offset by VA, NC, and FL going more purpleish-blue and GA and maybe even Texas going purpleish.
Interestingly, Illinois lost almost 100,000 African-Americans between the 2000 and 2010 censuses. The century-long strangehold that the Democratic party on ethnic blocs (Irish, Polish, Italian, African-American, Hispanic, etc) in Chicago and the resulting massive influence the party had statewide because of this is starting to break, I think.
I think you'll see it somewhat offset by VA, NC, and FL going more purpleish-blue and GA and maybe even Texas going purpleish.
Interestingly, Illinois lost almost 100,000 African-Americans between the 2000 and 2010 censuses. The century-long strangehold that the Democratic party on ethnic blocs (Irish, Polish, Italian, African-American, Hispanic, etc) in Chicago and the resulting massive influence the party had statewide because of this is starting to break, I think.
This post was edited on 11/5/14 at 12:15 am
Posted on 11/5/14 at 12:14 am to KosmoCramer
quote:
H W Bush took Illinois, Michigan, Maine, and Maryland.
It's all cyclical.
not even reagan would win states like NY today. NYC is the cesspool that ruins that state.
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