quote:
1 Mississippi State 7-0
2 Florida State 7-0
3 Auburn 6-1
4 Mississippi 7-1
5 Oregon 7-1
6 Alabama 7-1
7 TCU 6-1 Mississippi State, Florida State, Auburn, Oregon
8 Michigan State 7-1 (Mississippi State, Florida State, Oregon, TCU)
9 Kansas State 6-1 Mississippi State, Florida State, Auburn, Oregon
10 Notre Dame 6-1 (Mississippi State, Florida State, Oregon, TCU)
11 Georgia 6-1
12 Arizona 6-1 (Mississippi State, Florida State, TCU, Michigan State)
13 Baylor 6-1 (Mississippi State, Florida State, Oregon, Michigan State)
14 Arizona State 6-1 (Mississippi State, Florida State, TCU, Michigan State)
15 Nebraska 7-1 (Mississippi State, Florida State, Oregon, TCU)
16 Ohio State 6-1 (Mississippi State, Florida State, Oregon, TCU)
17 Utah 6-1 (Mississippi State, Florida State, TCU, Michigan State)
18 Oklahoma 5-2
19 LSU 7-2
20 West Virginia 6-2
21 Clemson 6-2
22 UCLA 6-2
23 East Carolina 6-1
24 Duke 6-1

To me the meaning of control their destiny is if they win out they are in at a 100% chance.

My Choices

FSU- Keep Winning
Miss St- Keep winning and don't lose to the wrong team. They can afford a loss as long as its to the right team.
Ole Miss- Keep winning and become the SEC Champ
Oregon- Keep winning and become the Pac 12 Champ
Georgia- Keep winning and become the SEC Champ
Arizona- Keep winning and become the Pac 12 Champ (USC is thier only loss but USC is already out the hunt for the PAC south title)
Arizona St- Keep winning and become the Pac 12 Champ (UCLA is thier only loss but UCLA is already out the hunt for the PAC south title)
Utah- Keep winning and become the Pac 12 Champ (Washington St is thier only loss but Washington St is a PAC north team so it makes no difference)
Baylor- Keep winning and they will have the Head to Head over conference rivals. ( Losing to WV is bad but oddly enough its far better than losing to TCU or KSU as far as the playoffs are concerned)

Teams I didn't include

Michigan St : They need someone to fall out the hunt but Oregon in particular. Oregon will have the head to head over Michigan St even if they win the conference.

Ohio St: They have the worst loss of all the serious contender. They need other a little chaos in the PAC 12 and SEC to get back in.

Alabama: Even if they win out that doesn't guarantee that they are in. Ole Miss has the Head to Head victory and needs them to lose again before they can truly say they control their fate. The SEC #2 team in the playoff is dependent on other conference. They will have a very strong chance to get in if they win out but not 100%.

Auburn:(Copy + Paste) Even if they win out that doesn't guarantee that they are in. Miss st has the Head to Head victory and needs them to lose twice before they can truly say they control their fate. The SEC #2 team in the playoff is dependent on other conference. They will have a very strong chance to get in if they win out but not 100%.

Kansas St: Even if they win out, they will have a head to head loss with Auburn. They need Auburn to lose again before they can say they control there destiny.

TCU: They need Baylor to lose another game or they may be out due to the Head to Head match up.

Notre Dame: They need some cannibalism in the PAC 12/Big 12/SEC or FSU to drop 2 games. They lost to FSU which was the one team they really couldn't afford to lose to. The head to head against FSU will hurt them even if FSU drops a game.