I think you're overestimating the emphasis they'll put on conference championships. Auburn has the #1 SOS right now, and it's actually getting stronger in the next month or so. TCU, for example, has the #45 SOS right now, and it won't crack the top 25. If Auburn had a slightly higher SOS, then I can understand TCU's Big 12 trophy knocking them up a notch.

If Auburn wins out, when exactly do they drop? Let's compare Auburn's remaining schedule with TCU's:

Date - Auburn opponent - TCU opponent
11/1 - Ole Miss - West Virginia
11/8 - Texas A&M - Kansas State
11/15 - Georgia - Kansas
11/22 - Samford - none
11/29 - Alabama - Texas
12/6 - none (or SECCG) - Iowa State

Italicized are the two weeks where TCU has a tougher opponent than Auburn does, and one of those opponents has already been beaten by Auburn, and the other ("none") likely would be Georgia in Atlanta if Auburn wins out. There's just no way TCU passes Auburn if they both win out.

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Posted by castorinho

13623 posts

Member since Nov 2010

82066 posts

Posted on 10/29/14 at 12:37 pm to ballscaster

quote:
I think you're overestimating the emphasis they'll put on conference championships.

I did not say they will get jumped by a conference champ, I said it is a possibility given the committee has said they will put an emphasis on that....which makes Auburn not a LOCK.

Think about it this way: the other 4 we listed won't be sweating it out the day before the final 4 is revealed if they win out, Auburn on the other end might be depending on what else happens. (for example Miss St, FSU, Auburn, Oregon, ND, TCU, Mich State win out)

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