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re: CFB teams who control their own playoff destiny

Posted on 10/29/14 at 9:55 am to
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82066 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 9:55 am to
quote:

That is to say that there does not exist a scenario that has an individual team in bold winning out and being excluded from the playoff.


This is illogical.

the only teams in bold should be Florida state, Miss State and Georgia. 100% they are in. For the rest, some are near locks if they win out and some will need an upset.

With that said, enough upsets will happen to where any of the teams you have in bold will make it in if they win out.

Posted by ballscaster
Member since Jun 2013
26861 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 11:04 am to
quote:

the only teams in bold should be Florida state, Miss State and Georgia. 100% they are in. For the rest, some are near locks if they win out and some will need an upset.
If Ole Miss wins out, they are a one-loss SEC champion. There's no scenario that has them out of the top 4 if they win out.

If Oregon wins out, they pass the Auburn/OM loser for good this week to get the 4 spot. Win, and they're in.

Auburn has three games remaining against top 11 teams. There is no conceivable way that Auburn would drop out of the top 4 if they win out regardless of who wins the SEC.

If Alabama wins out, they bump two of the top three out to place themselves at 4 at worst. Win out, and they are in.

Looking at TCU again, there is a crazy scenario that has them winning out and not making it. If Mississippi State, Florida State, Auburn, and Oregon win out, the Frogs are out. Same goes for Kansas State.
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