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re: New Colorado senate PPP poll: Dem incumbent down by 3 (47-44)

Posted on 10/21/14 at 7:31 pm to
Posted by TN_Tigers
West Tennessee
Member since Feb 2013
7193 posts
Posted on 10/21/14 at 7:31 pm to
Senator Udall will be re-elected in Colorado. For some reason, Democrats outperform polling in that state. Udall will get 51.5 to 52.5% of the total vote.

quote:

Democrats outperform polling in that state


Agree..thats probably worth 2-3%..I think PPP was the only poll in 2012 to overestimate Obama's turnout. I was in CO in 2012 and I wasnt feeling the normal pro GOP feelings in some of the Denver suburbs like I was expecting.

quote:

Udall will get 51.5 to 52.5% of the total vote.


There are more than 2 candidates so Idk about this..I see Gardner getting more than 43-44.

quote:

Senator Udall will be re-elected in Colorado


I actually think this will be the closest race..right there with IA and GA.

Posted by TOKEN
Member since Feb 2014
11990 posts
Posted on 10/21/14 at 7:45 pm to
I agree, Udall has a great ground game left by Obama campaign. The same is true with Iowa. I think the GOP hopes lie in North Carolina. Hagan has to get 20% of AA turnout and I have no idea how she can do this? Everytime I run the numbers in NC I have her @ 48-49%.

GOP has ground advantage in Georgia, Kentucky, Kansas, South Dakata

The democrats need to hold 3/4 Iowa, Colorado, NC, New Hampshire

They need 1/4 on Republican Seats to hold Senate.

This post was edited on 10/21/14 at 7:46 pm
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