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re: Mary Landrieu replaces campaign manager
Posted on 10/9/14 at 12:05 am to Lakeboy7
Posted on 10/9/14 at 12:05 am to Lakeboy7
You can see all the puppies and sunshine you want with her campaign, but she is headed to a runoff and will lose to Cassidy. Her only chance was to out it away early, which is why she spent 3.5 million of her COH from April to June. She needed to put Cassidy down and rehabilitate her image. It didn't work. She's stuck at 39-42 in the jungle and Cassidy is consistently around 50 in a two way.
She's screwed unless Cassidy has an Akin moment. The guy has faults, but will never have that moment.
Move onto a race the dems can win like CO or NC.
She's screwed unless Cassidy has an Akin moment. The guy has faults, but will never have that moment.
Move onto a race the dems can win like CO or NC.
2
Posted on 10/9/14 at 6:21 am to ever43
Street money in New Orleans and GOTV efforts in the River Parishes, as well as a fairly decent black voting block in EBRP can deliver her a formidable vote number.
The problem is that effort takes more and more money. Mitch will make sure the busses run in NOLA. Gonna be interesting to see if Cleo's run in EBRP.
She's not done yet. Katrina regrettably did not wash away dirty street money in NOLA. They can't deliver 100,000+ vote swings in Orleans anymore, but it's a chunk of votes still.
The problem is that effort takes more and more money. Mitch will make sure the busses run in NOLA. Gonna be interesting to see if Cleo's run in EBRP.
She's not done yet. Katrina regrettably did not wash away dirty street money in NOLA. They can't deliver 100,000+ vote swings in Orleans anymore, but it's a chunk of votes still.
Posted on 10/9/14 at 7:26 am to ever43
quote:
She's screwed unless Cassidy has an Akin moment. The guy has faults, but will never have that moment.
Well, in Landreiu's adds, Cassidy looks like a psychopath. In Cassidy's own ads, he looks like a child molester. At this point, a runoff is really too close to call between the two candidates. Cassidy has done nothing but give reasons why not to vote for Mary, no reasons why to vote for himself. I think that Cassidy will still make the runoff, but have a surprisingly bad showing in the Jungle Primary, with Mary getting around 45%. This runoff will be very tough for Cassidy, who has next to no name recognition or presence outside of Baton Rouge to go toe to toe with Mary, especially if she can paint him as a flip-flopper.
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