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re: Offensive Line Age
Posted on 9/29/14 at 11:49 am to Mister Flawless
Posted on 9/29/14 at 11:49 am to Mister Flawless
One of the ESPN talking heads had an interesting take on the Saints O-line in the preseason. He took the age of each O-lineman and added all 5 together to come up with a single number to represent the age of the whole line.
He has observed that once that number gets too high (a threshold is met), performance begins to drop and the higher you go the closer you are to rebuilding.
I recall the saints O line was right on that threshold. With Armstead. He nailed it and said to keep an eye on the Saints O line as its aging.
So if his stat is true, its all downhill form here.
Maybe someone else saw that segment and can provide more details.
He has observed that once that number gets too high (a threshold is met), performance begins to drop and the higher you go the closer you are to rebuilding.
I recall the saints O line was right on that threshold. With Armstead. He nailed it and said to keep an eye on the Saints O line as its aging.
So if his stat is true, its all downhill form here.
Maybe someone else saw that segment and can provide more details.
This post was edited on 9/29/14 at 11:52 am
Posted on 9/29/14 at 11:51 am to BobBoucher
I believe it was Clayton, and we were right below the number. I'll see if I can find it.
ETA: Found it.
His math was off here, though. 30+30+30+35+23=148.
ETA: Found it.
quote:LINK
Beware of the "Theory of 150": In 2007, I came up with the "Theory of 150." I was looking at an aging offensive line of the Chicago Bears, who were coming off a Super Bowl loss to Indianapolis. The starting offensive line had a combined age of 159, 31.4 per player. Four starters were in their 30s. Once a line gets that old, major repairs and a major drop-off are looming. I used the same theory for the Washington Redskins, Cowboys and Giants over the next few years.
A theory alert is developing for the Saints. Evans, Zach Strief and Grubbs are currently 30. At center, 35-year-old Jonathan Goodwin is competing against Tim Lelito. Armstead is 23. If Goodwin wins at center, the combined age of the line will be 152. This isn't to say the Saints won't be fine this year, but they are starting to get to the point where they must look toward the future. Payton places more value at guard than at tackle because the 6-foot Brees needs a clean pocket. If the pocket starts to collapse because of age, Brees could struggle.
His math was off here, though. 30+30+30+35+23=148.
This post was edited on 9/29/14 at 11:57 am
Posted on 9/29/14 at 11:53 am to BobBoucher
quote:
One of the ESPN talking heads had an interesting take on the Saints O-line in the preseason. He took the age of each O-lineman and added all 5 together to come up with a single number to represent the age of the whole line.
He has observed that once that number gets too high (a threshold is met), performance begins to drop and the higher you go the closer you are to rebuilding.
I recall the saints O line was right on that threshold. With Armstead.
So if his stat is true, its all downhill form here.
I remember that stat too, but I thought I heard it on Moscona's show one day. Either way, it is a glaring issue.
ETA: Nevermind you guys found it.
This post was edited on 9/29/14 at 11:54 am
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