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re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB Betting Thread - Bring back the dcrews magic

Posted on 10/1/14 at 9:25 am to
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 9:25 am to
quote:

Vegas is getting cute, trying to push the narrative that TCU is a live dog.


"Vegas" had similar line movements with Missouri/Indiana and ND/Michigan

Public hammering Missouri and Michigan and yet the line was going the other way...and Vegas absolutely smashed it by encouraging more wagers on the wrong side. A thing of beauty really.
This post was edited on 10/1/14 at 9:27 am
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25289 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 9:30 am to
Yeah it is similar, but this line move is more window dressing than anything. Few games fall in the 6 to 4 window. It's a dead zone since the key numbers are 3 and 7.

I'll contend to look at it one way. If I think TCU can win this game outright, I'll play them on the ML. If I don't, I'll back OU minus the points. The move is negligible.

Is one of the best teams in the country going to lose straight up to TCU? I can't buy that story right now from what I've seen.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 11:30 am to
quote:

"Vegas" had similar line movements with Missouri/Indiana and ND/Michigan

Public hammering Missouri and Michigan and yet the line was going the other way...and Vegas absolutely smashed it by encouraging more wagers on the wrong side. A thing of beauty really.

I'll pretty much avoid any game with RLM, but damn 4 is tempting.
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