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re: OFFICIAL Week 4 CFB Betting Thread - dcrews strikes back

Posted on 9/17/14 at 8:46 am to
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36302 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 8:46 am to
YTD: 4-2 +0.4U

1U MARYLAND PK -110
Posted by DFWAggie09
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
1483 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 11:26 am to
Clemson +20 looks pretty good for anyone who got on it early and hasn't gotten it yanked.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 11:31 am to
How are y'alls back ups? I've been going back and forth over this A&M game...

Last year Manziel played one series in the 3rd quarter and that was it. They year before, he played the whole 3rd quarter, and set the 4th. Can your 2nd and 3rd string offense put points on the board?
Posted by Broham
Crowley
Member since Feb 2005
18385 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 11:37 am to
I love the under for the LSU game. I don't think they reach 50 points. I might tease State and the under to State +17 and under 57. Seems like a sure win. What yall think?
Posted by cbi8
Nashville
Member since Mar 2012
6801 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 11:41 am to
I got clemson at +19.5
Posted by Mac
Forked Island, USA
Member since Nov 2007
14657 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 11:41 am to
quote:

Clemson +20 looks pretty good for anyone who got on it early and hasn't gotten it yanked.


I was hoping it would get to +21
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 11:43 am to
As i said im on it too. Just wish i jumped eaelier. Got it for +20 but only a 1/2 unit.
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 11:55 am to
quote:

I might tease

quote:

Seems like a sure win

They always do...
Posted by DFWAggie09
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
1483 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

How are y'alls back ups?


They are most definitely good enough to keep putting points on the board versus this SMU team. In fact, I would expect to see a lot of Kyle Allen at QB in this game and am still heavy on A&M at -30.5 because we are still in major need of getting him reps in case something happens to Hill.

It wouldn't surprise me to see Sumlin channel his inner Greg Popovich and rest/sit a lot of the 1's and 2's early in this game with Arkansas coming up next week, but this SMU team is so, so bad and Sumlin/Spav will not put Kyle Allen in the game just to hand the ball off.
Posted by Broham
Crowley
Member since Feb 2005
18385 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 12:08 pm to
What's everyone doing with Auburn? I like them but damn that Thursday night scares me, it's where ranked teams go to die.
Posted by DFWAggie09
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
1483 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 12:12 pm to
I posted about it back earlier in the thread I think but Malzahn, bye week, field turf, and athletes are the big reasons I'm on Auburn regardless of the Thursday night curse.

It will undoubtedly backfire on me I'm sure, but I jumped early and still feel good about AUB -9.5
Posted by cbi8
Nashville
Member since Mar 2012
6801 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

What's everyone doing with Auburn? I like them but damn that Thursday night scares me, it's where ranked teams go to die.



I took auburn at -9, but only so I have a game to watch thursday
Posted by Broham
Crowley
Member since Feb 2005
18385 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 12:17 pm to
Just pulled the trigger....

1 unit on Auburn -9
5 units on Miss St. +17/Under 57
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

What's everyone doing with Auburn?


Everyone likes Auburn it seems like.

Kansas State is a tough place to play. Snyder is a good coach. Someone mentioned Auburn had a bye week, so did Kansas State. It's a Thursday night game and everyone knows how road favorites play out on Thursday nights.

State has a pretty stingy defense and should be able to put up some points on Auburn. I like Kansas State to keep this game close at home on a Thursday night.
Posted by Mac
Forked Island, USA
Member since Nov 2007
14657 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

t's a Thursday night game and everyone knows how road favorites play out on Thursday nights.


I feel like that is largely predicated on overlooking the team and typically having a short 5 day turn around. Auburn (and K. State) are coming off a bye. WDE -9
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 1:10 pm to
Sportsbooks are taking 3 Auburn bets to every 1 K St bet right now. And yet, won't move the line to 10.

It's a pass for me as I'd lean Auburn but don't want to back a heavy ThNCAAF road FAV.
Posted by Mac
Forked Island, USA
Member since Nov 2007
14657 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 1:11 pm to
Clemson FSU is back up on TopBet. Line dropped 3 points to -17.
Posted by holdthattigah
White Bay, JVD
Member since Sep 2014
116 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 1:19 pm to
Thats not much of a decrease with the starting QB missing a half. Take Clemson for the game and hope they are tied or up at the half and take fla st. 2nd half for a nice juicy middle
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77392 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 1:22 pm to
Seems like the right amount of drop off to me
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 1:32 pm to
What power rankings have y'all found to be the most accurate in order to determine a true line? I use sagarin, and he seems to be off early on.
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