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re: OFFICIAL Week 2 NFL Bet Thread

Posted on 9/9/14 at 6:21 pm to
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30223 posts
Posted on 9/9/14 at 6:21 pm to
quote:

NO -6 @ CLE


Did we learn nothing about road favorites last week?

I'm watching that St Louis @ Tampa line. Up to +5.5 from +3.5 opener. Will look to make a play if it gets closer to +7.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25289 posts
Posted on 9/10/14 at 9:49 am to
quote:

Did we learn nothing about road favorites last week?


So because road favorites didn't cover last week it means the Saints can't cover this week? Since when did this thread turn into square thinking only?? .

Some trends in the Saints favor:

Drew Brees is 27-15 ATS after a loss with the Saints (8-4 ATS as an underdog).
Saints are 7-3 ATS as favorites after losing as favorites.
Sean Payton is 8-3 ATS in his second-consecutive road game as a favorite.

The Saints could easily win this game going away. I backed Cleveland last week and won, but I don't have any respect for Pittsburgh's terrible defense that allowed that Cleveland backdoor.

The Saints had a Top 5 stop unit last year. They couldn't tackle last week vs. ATL (it was shocking and I'm calling it an anomaly). I suspect we see a big bounce back from them this week.

Cleveland's offense is nowhere close to Atlanta. The intangibles are on the Saints side because they know a loss to Cleveland likely puts them 2 games behind Seattle in the race for homefield advantage in the NFC.

Cleveland isn't good and the Saints are a SB contender. I wouldn't be too surprised if the sharps are back on the Saints this week as well when it's all said and done.
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