re: 99.999% likelihood GW is man made.

I've come to two conclusions reading this thread.

1) tuba is a dick

2) I seriously doubt the accuracy of any modeling on global warming.

I do FEA analysis for a living. It's incredibly hard to capture all of the inputs and reactions on very small scale stuff and obtain accurate results. The people and man hours and computing power it would take to accurately model and predict global climate are not feasible today.