re: Nate Silver - GOP Favored To Take Senate

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the FiveThirtyEight forecast model gives them a 64 percent chance of doing so.

Maddow last night was claiming an 85% chance Democrat senate

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Bottom line is there are 60 days before the election and a LOT of things could happen between now and then. There are so many tight races involved, and all of them capable of going either way based upon the smallest of gaffes, incidents or events between now and Election Day, either Silver or Maddow could be right. One party could win half a dozen states by 1% or less - but so could the other party.