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re: Rand Paul's way-too-early path to the GOP nomination.
Posted on 6/3/14 at 9:52 am to GumboPot
Posted on 6/3/14 at 9:52 am to GumboPot
quote:
I don't see it.
Huntsman would follow in the footsteps of Ford, Dole, McCain, and Romney. He doesn't excite the base to get out the vote and I believe it is fools gold to believe Huntsman would attract crossover voters. I mean on crossover issues there is no clear delineation between Huntsman and HRC.
However in terms of crossover appeals I believe Paul can make a clear delineation between himself and HRC on 4th amendment issues. And because it is constitutional that crossover issue will not alienate the conservative base.
I would agree that if Paul gets the nomination, its going to be an interesting race. the dynamics will change quite a bit. And I could see Paul winning against any democratic candidate. I just don't see him winning the nomination.
But I could see huntsman winning too. He is likeable, certainly more likeable than any of the other GOP candidates. He is also good looking (sad to say this matters), and has a breadth of experience to trump HRC. More so than any other GOP candidate except Bush (yack). I wouldn't worry, there is no fricking way in hell he wins the nomination.
Posted on 6/3/14 at 10:00 am to Hawkeye95
quote:
I wouldn't worry, there is no fricking way in hell he wins the nomination.
Pretty much.
I do tend to gravitate more towards candidates with gubernatorial experience as opposed to people who have only been in Congress (like Obama).
Posted on 6/3/14 at 10:18 am to Hawkeye95
quote:
He is also good looking (sad to say this matters)
No doubt.
Good looks started to be a major factor IMO with Kennedy. I wasn't alive, but I have seen the videos of the Nixon/Kennedy debates were there was a close up of Nixon's sweaty upper lip. Some people cite that as the beginning of Nixon's fall against Kennedy albeit Kennedy was a good looking especially compared to Nixon. His good looks probably carried him to victory despite his inexperience.
You can look at every presidential election since Kennedy/Nixon and in general the better looking candidate wins. When I say good looking, good looking also includes charisma.
Reagan had it in spades.
George Bush 1 didn't have it but compared to Dukakis...lol
Clinton had it.
GWB has more than stiff Al Gore and Lurch Kerry.
And of course Obama's had it over McCain and stiff Romney. (It's not that Romney isn't handsome, he's just not cool like Obama).
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