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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread

Posted on 8/20/14 at 12:28 pm to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164342 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

If it tracks over Cuba as a week system, shouldn't it break up pretty good?
Storms can survive Cuba. It's Hispaniola that breaks them up.
Posted by SSpaniel
Germantown
Member since Feb 2013
29658 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

Due to funding constraints and an increase in the internet community forecasting reliability, we of the hurricane hunters have decide to just use the OT forecast.

Prediction: Tropics staaaaaaacked. LSU game fuuuuucked



Can you start using MS Paint for your weather maps?
Posted by J Murdah
Member since Jun 2008
39789 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 1:03 pm to
Saw this on reddit:
quote:

TIL that the Mayan god of wind and storms was called Jun Raqan, pronounced "Huracan", hence the word "Hurricane".
LINK
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17679 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

 It's Hispaniola that breaks them up.

Everyone knows not too frick with the Dominicans.
Posted by chickman1313
Mandeville
Member since Dec 2007
4922 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 2:34 pm to
Looks like the models have it going a little farther north now

Posted by harry coleman beast
Left Field
Member since Aug 2008
52210 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 2:35 pm to
When will the LSU/Wisconsin game be played now?
Posted by 3deadtrolls
lafayette
Member since Jan 2014
5737 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

Looks like the models have it going a little farther north now


I like it!
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 3:01 pm to
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 3:02 pm to
Definitely a good trend. Hopefully it stays north once we have a good llc for the models to latch on to.
Posted by LSU1NSEC
Member since Sep 2007
17243 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 3:02 pm to
models will be better once the hurricane hunters' data starts coming in
Posted by chickman1313
Mandeville
Member since Dec 2007
4922 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

once the hurricane hunters' data starts coming in


when will they fly out ya think? friday?
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
13371 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 3:14 pm to
models will be better when this thing has a closed LLC.
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
14772 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 3:16 pm to
Models will be better once Les Miles names a starting quarterback.
Posted by AstroTiger
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Oct 2007
22966 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 3:23 pm to
Some of the models fall outside of the 5-day cone. I know this thing isn't formed yet and very unpredictable but it seems the the cone should fall more into the aggregate of the models.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 3:28 pm to
quote:

Some of the models fall outside of the 5-day cone. I know this thing isn't formed yet and very unpredictable but it seems the the cone should fall more into the aggregate of the models.



The five day area the NHC started using for waves/invests isn't necessarily a path this thing will take, rather it's a zone that shows where possible formation will take place at some point in the next five days. The cones we know and love don't come out until it is at least a depression. Also notice with the models the uncertainty within 24 hours.. usually you would want to see them more aligned within at least the first 24 hours... but of course it's still early and we still don't have a LLC.
This post was edited on 8/20/14 at 3:29 pm
Posted by LakeViewLSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2009
17730 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

Models will be better once Les Miles names a starting quarterback.


I loled a little.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 5:11 pm to
18z GFS has trouble picking up a good starting point and finally decides on a blob to the north, moves it across the Dominican Republic and into the Bahamas as a depression/weak TS.. Then into Florida around Jax as a hurricane and riding up the coast of Georgia
This post was edited on 8/20/14 at 5:42 pm
Posted by Fusaichi Pegasus
Meh He Co
Member since Oct 2010
14572 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 5:15 pm to
Stahp it
Posted by LakeViewLSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2009
17730 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 5:53 pm to
Don't stop it.

I will look at this thread for updates at 5:30am and 5:30pm every day until the situation has resolved itself.

Thanks.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/20/14 at 6:52 pm to
Keep in mind this is extremely far out and should not be taken as a definitive outcome, this is just another model... don't worry

Next model up.. the HWRF:

It has him moving over puerto rico, the dominican republic, into the bahamas, and then moving barely north of west towards S Fla:

for reference 93 kts = 107 mph.

Last frame:




This post was edited on 8/20/14 at 6:55 pm
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