- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: AGW Deniers - Seems Kind of Hopeless
Posted on 5/19/14 at 9:18 pm to AUbused
Posted on 5/19/14 at 9:18 pm to AUbused
quote:So... if you think there are other drivers... what portion do you believe is due to CO2? And what do you suppose are the other drivers?
Sorry if I was unclear, the general consensus seems to be that carbon is a driving factor.....not THE driver. I was trying to make that distinction
quote:Few actaully write modeling software. I cannot believe you are one of them from your posts.
Yes dude, Im a software engineer I realize how these things work.
quote:Sorry. I have no idea what you're trying to say.
The clarification I was making was regarding the focus on carbon because its a factor we have control over.
quote:Indeed. It means the model is structurally inaccurate, presuming any sort of sensitivity analysis was done. (poor assumption with climate models, though)
Just because a model we includes all of these as force variables turns out to be inaccurate does NOT mean that one or all of the variables dont contribute at all.
quote:And CO2 is ONE OF THOSE INPUT VARIABLES THAT COULD BE WRONG.
It could also mean that one or more of the VALUES attributed to the input variables could be wrong.
quote:The most likely candidate is cloud and water vapor--as those parameters are by even the most ardent AGW supporters admit--poorly modeled with very low fidelity.
For example, they might have UNDER weighted one of the non-carbon variables, skewing the results.
quote:It's exactly what you're saying. Your saying modeling state inputs are wrong--but somehow excluding CO2 as being on of the incorrect ones.
No thats not what Im arguing at all. See above.
Feel free to show us your regression analysis isolating CO2 leading you to that conclusion. Pick any IPCC model of your own choice. I'd love to see it.
This post was edited on 5/19/14 at 9:23 pm
Posted on 5/19/14 at 9:19 pm to Taxing Authority
quote:
Feel free to show us your regression analysis isolating CO2 leading you to that conclusion. Pick any IPCC model of your own choice. I'd love to see it.
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/icons/iconpopcorn.gif)
Posted on 5/19/14 at 9:26 pm to Taxing Authority
quote:
Few actaully write modeling software. I cannot believe you are one of them from your posts.
You dont have to write modeling software to understand what a big arse system of equations is.
quote:
It's exactly what you're saying. Your saying modeling state inputs are wrong--but somehow excluding CO2 as being on of the incorrect ones.
I didn't state that explicitly, I argued that the model being wrong didnt NECESSARILY prove that carbon isn't a contributing driver. The difference there is quite significant.
Popular
Back to top
![logo](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/images/layout/TDIcon.jpg)