re: Why exactly wont we honor the Crimean referendum?

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It's not a true referendum. You can vote "yes," for immediate unification with Russia, or "yes," for the terms of the 1991 constitution, which is a slower path, but also leads to Russian unification. "No" is not on the ballot.

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Gotcha.

That said. Is there any indication that reunification isn't popular in Crimea?

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Plus there's the thing about Russia holding a referendum in a sovereign nation.

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Meh. We've played the "help Americans" card a few times in my adult lifetime too.

And, I mean. There must be a reason Russia hasn't even had to fire a shot. The Crimeans don't seem terribly pissed.