re: Anyone seriously analyze the movie Mulholland Drive?

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The beast behind Winkie's is definitely Diane.

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That's true - but it can be interpreted as the evil side of her personality - the side capable of ordering Camilla's murder. That's why it is associated with Winkie's and why it scares Dan so much - remember, she is looking right at Dan, IRL, when the hit man explains the key to her.

It's possible she worked at Winkie's before, but, more likely, I think she just swapped places with "Betty" from the transaction for Camilla's hit.

Another thing - because of the similar looking actresses playing the BHL and the beast - perhaps the BHL is yet another aspect of Diane - the "director" of the dream, so to speak. The fade in of BHL from the image of the beast at the very end might support this as well.