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re: ObamaCare bounce continues

Posted on 2/11/14 at 11:27 pm to
Posted by CamdenTiger
Member since Aug 2009
62541 posts
Posted on 2/11/14 at 11:27 pm to
I'm mixed on this one. Gov't forcing everyone to throw there money that direction has everything doing well, but I know the health of a few Hospital systems, and they are getting hit pretty hard. I don't know how that trickles down to stocks, but the ground level ain't pretty. ICD10 codes are going to take a huge hit to the Hospitals starting in October of this year, and the ground level looks to take another hit in 2015. Knowing what I know, I wouldn't touch Health stocks after this year, but with everything so Gov't backed, Heck, just don't know....it might still be a good investment...
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 2/12/14 at 6:17 am to
Jim Grant said yesterday that he is most worried about the biotech sector. With that said, we own a bunch of FBTIX.
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 2/12/14 at 8:25 am to
quote:

I'm mixed on this one. Gov't forcing everyone to throw there money that direction has everything doing well, but I know the health of a few Hospital systems, and they are getting hit pretty hard. I don't know how that trickles down to stocks, but the ground level ain't pretty. ICD10 codes are going to take a huge hit to the Hospitals starting in October of this year, and the ground level looks to take another hit in 2015. Knowing what I know, I wouldn't touch Health stocks after this year, but with everything so Gov't backed, Heck, just don't know....it might still be a good investment...


This is going to depend in large part on each healthcare provider's payor mix. If you believe ObamaCare will result in expanded healthcare coverage, you'd expect hospitals with heavy Medicaid exposure to benefit as people are more likely to seek hospital services when they have insurance. On the other hand, if the hospital's mix is primarily self-pay, you wouldn't expect the same benefit.

That said, these hospitals aren't seeing any sort of reform-driven volume increases to date, though it's obviously still the early innings.
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