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re: Effectiveness of the Flu Vaccine
Posted on 1/7/14 at 10:48 pm to eelsuee
Posted on 1/7/14 at 10:48 pm to eelsuee
quote:
So the vaccine this year only improves your chances of not getting the flu by 17%, and this is one of the best years ever. Am I reading that right?
No, you're not. An overall reduction of 17% in the general population doesn't mean a given individual's chances of contracting the flu is reduced by only 17%.
3
Posted on 1/7/14 at 10:54 pm to VOR
quote:We actually had a discussion on this today. If I recall correctly, it was stated that the flu shot this year is ~70% effective.
No, you're not. An overall reduction of 17% in the general population doesn't mean a given individual's chances of contracting the flu is reduced by only 17%.
I'm just going by word of mouth though.
Posted on 1/7/14 at 10:56 pm to VOR
quote:
An overall reduction of 17% in the general population doesn't mean a given individual's chances of contracting the flu is reduced by only 17%.
I am pretty sure that is exactly what it means on average.
Posted on 1/8/14 at 9:35 am to VOR
quote:It does and it doesn't.
No, you're not. An overall reduction of 17% in the general population doesn't mean a given individual's chances of contracting the flu is reduced by only 17%.
Considering an individual in isolation, you're exactly correct.
Considering an individual as a coequal risk population component, he has a 17% chance of infection.
This post was edited on 1/8/14 at 10:40 am
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