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re: DoCho's Bowl Prediction Algorithm: Day 3
Posted on 12/24/13 at 11:09 pm to Louie T
Posted on 12/24/13 at 11:09 pm to Louie T
Thanks. This is a pretty clear 33% er.
Im gonna try to do some serious tweaks before the games on the 26.
Here are my tasks:
1. Double the number of data points.
2. Possibly weight them by year for relevance. The game changes significantly year to year
3. Include NCAA SOS as a metric upon which clusters can split.
4. Experiment with the number of clusters to see the resulting ranges and tree purity.
5. Look at correlation between variables in order to prune the tree
Im gonna try to do some serious tweaks before the games on the 26.
Here are my tasks:
1. Double the number of data points.
2. Possibly weight them by year for relevance. The game changes significantly year to year
3. Include NCAA SOS as a metric upon which clusters can split.
4. Experiment with the number of clusters to see the resulting ranges and tree purity.
5. Look at correlation between variables in order to prune the tree
Posted on 12/24/13 at 11:14 pm to DollaChoppa
Mathematical capping is nearly impossible with bowl season because of motivation and coaching changes. I've done extremely well with my #s during the regular season but generally stay far away from bowl season because of this.
I still cap individual games but don't put nearly as much credence into my comp stats.
I still cap individual games but don't put nearly as much credence into my comp stats.
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