re: Iowa vs LSU breakdown

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BrewHawk - Excellent point. Most excellent point. I enjoy your comments.

Your point, IMO, would still assume 2 equal teams. Vegas has established LSU as the favorite (not to get into the whys and wherefores of LSU being favored at a neutral site).

All things equal, with LSU favored, if your point played out Iowa would not nullify any Tiger effort (IMO).

You are asking me to be completely impartial and pick Iowa in a contest where the favored team is motivated as can be.

I probably won't do that.

However, flop the table and your point totally makes sense. I offer the Auburn victory over Bama example I used above. Underdog Auburn took it to Bama. Iowa most definitely is in this game big time with LSU and can walk away with a victory (like '04) by outplaying LSU. Whether that outplaying effort is due to talent, etc. or motivation I will leave that up to future analysts to determine (subjectively, of course).

The more I study this game the more I am convinced this will be a great game. A barnburner.

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All Vegas is trying to do is get equal money on both sides from the betting public. Of course public perception is going to favor LSU...look at the ESPN poll where it's 80/20.

We're just Iowa from the Big Ten, against a great program from the SEC, a conference that ESPN crams down everybody's throat every chance they get because it makes them more money than the Big Ten does.

Again, this game will be won and lost in the trenches and this is where Iowa makes it's hay. No question that LSU's lines are solid as well, but if/when Iowa wins this game you can point to the big uglies as the reason. Which leads in to my next reply to Macho...