re: If Projected as a 1st Rd Pick, What Likelihood of a Title . . .

I'd go the Peyton Manning route since it's obvious that turning down the draft turned him into a superhuman with regards to injuries that would've ended the careers of mere mortals.

But really, a title would be less important to me than how I felt about my team, my coaches, and school. No title would be worth being miserable over but an awesome environment that you only get once chance at experiencing filled with friends and simply a joy to be at could make it easy to delay things, so it would really depend on the circumstances.

That said, the chances of a career ender are slimmer than advertised in this day and age and the rookie cap put off the big payday til the 2nd contract making things less enticing if you do your homework. Even with an injury your senior year, few positions are so delicate that your earnings are irrevocably compromised so a lot boils down to whether or not you're happy where you are and if you're in a financial position to stay. The hero status SEC fans award to big time players who stick it out is unrivaled.

Also, everything isn't about money, especially when you love playing and love where you're at, but players should always consider the pros and cons for their position and situation without getting either too scared or too starry eyed about cash that isn't always what the contract looks like or the draft analysts and agents claim it will be if you go at x time.