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Message
Houston Rockets fans... check out these stats...
Posted on 11/26/13 at 7:20 pm
Posted on 11/26/13 at 7:20 pm
The Good:
PPS (Points Per Shot): 1.41 (2nd) Only the Heat ahead.
Opp PPS (Opponents' Points Per Shot): 1.13 (4th) Only Indiana, San Antonio, Chicago ahead.
PPSd (Points Per Shot Differential. Difference between PPS and Opp PPS): +0.29 (1st) 1st by a wide margin. Followed by Indiana, Miami, San Antonio, OKC.
Offrtg(# of points scored per 100 possessions): 108.1 (3rd) Heat, Clippers ahead.
Defrtg(# of points allowed per 100 possessions): 101.6 (17th)
NetRtg(Differnce between Offrtg and Defrtg): 6.4 (4th) Spurs, Pacers, Heat ahead.
eFG% (Effective FG% is FG% adjusted for 3 pointers being worth 1.5x more than 2 point shots): 57.6% (2nd) Only the Heat ahead.
TS% (Shooting percentage that takes into account the value of 3 pointers AND free throws): 58.9% (2nd) Only the Heat ahead.
Opp FGA (Opponents' Field Goal Percentage): 41.8% (2nd) Only Indiana shuts down opponents better.
Opp DRPG: (Opponents' Defensive Rebounds Per Game): 27.1 (1st)
The Bad:
DRP (Defensive Rebound Percentage: % of defensive rebounds Rockets get): 71.8% (28th)
Turnover Ratio (# of turnovers per 100 possessions): 19.0 (30th)
There are the numbers. So, what does this all mean?
1. Surprisingly, the Rockets are one of the best defensive teams in the league. Yes, you read that right. They hold their opponents to only 1.13 points per shot... 4th best in the league. And they hold their opponents to only 41.8% field goal percentage... 2nd best in the league.
The problem is that the Rockets struggle getting the defensive rebound. They are 28th in defensive rebound %. This means Rockets' opponents get multiple chances to score per possession. Which is why the Rockets' opponents' points per possession is 14th in the league.
So the Rockets do get stops... but they give their opponents multiple chances to score due to poor rebounding.
2. Houston turns the ball over a lot. Enough said.
3. Houston leads the league in the opponents' defensive rebounding. Meaning, the Rockets' opponents do not get a lot of defensive rebounds. That's good, right? Not really. It's deceiving. The Rockets score a lot, which prevents rebounds, and they shoot a lot of free throws, which also prevents rebounds. They aren't necessarily grabbing a ton of offensive rebounds to keep their opponents off the glass. Their opponents just have less chances to grab the rebounds.
So in conclusion, the Rockets' #1 problem is rebounding. That is where there problems stem from. My theory is that Dwight is ultra aggressive when playing defense, and this causes him to be out of position, and the other players on the team are failing to get his back and grab the board when he attempts to block shots. Could be due to players trying to run the fast break and not securing the rebound.
Secondly, Dwight's presence in the middle forces more outside shots. Outside shots = long rebounds. Long rebounds means it is more likely the offensive team can get the offensive rebound.
So what have we learned? Basically, the Rockets offense is really good. Their defense is actually surprisingly good, too. The Rockets having bad defense is a myth. Their problem is rebounding.
PPS (Points Per Shot): 1.41 (2nd) Only the Heat ahead.
Opp PPS (Opponents' Points Per Shot): 1.13 (4th) Only Indiana, San Antonio, Chicago ahead.
PPSd (Points Per Shot Differential. Difference between PPS and Opp PPS): +0.29 (1st) 1st by a wide margin. Followed by Indiana, Miami, San Antonio, OKC.
Offrtg(# of points scored per 100 possessions): 108.1 (3rd) Heat, Clippers ahead.
Defrtg(# of points allowed per 100 possessions): 101.6 (17th)
NetRtg(Differnce between Offrtg and Defrtg): 6.4 (4th) Spurs, Pacers, Heat ahead.
eFG% (Effective FG% is FG% adjusted for 3 pointers being worth 1.5x more than 2 point shots): 57.6% (2nd) Only the Heat ahead.
TS% (Shooting percentage that takes into account the value of 3 pointers AND free throws): 58.9% (2nd) Only the Heat ahead.
Opp FGA (Opponents' Field Goal Percentage): 41.8% (2nd) Only Indiana shuts down opponents better.
Opp DRPG: (Opponents' Defensive Rebounds Per Game): 27.1 (1st)
The Bad:
DRP (Defensive Rebound Percentage: % of defensive rebounds Rockets get): 71.8% (28th)
Turnover Ratio (# of turnovers per 100 possessions): 19.0 (30th)
There are the numbers. So, what does this all mean?
1. Surprisingly, the Rockets are one of the best defensive teams in the league. Yes, you read that right. They hold their opponents to only 1.13 points per shot... 4th best in the league. And they hold their opponents to only 41.8% field goal percentage... 2nd best in the league.
The problem is that the Rockets struggle getting the defensive rebound. They are 28th in defensive rebound %. This means Rockets' opponents get multiple chances to score per possession. Which is why the Rockets' opponents' points per possession is 14th in the league.
So the Rockets do get stops... but they give their opponents multiple chances to score due to poor rebounding.
2. Houston turns the ball over a lot. Enough said.
3. Houston leads the league in the opponents' defensive rebounding. Meaning, the Rockets' opponents do not get a lot of defensive rebounds. That's good, right? Not really. It's deceiving. The Rockets score a lot, which prevents rebounds, and they shoot a lot of free throws, which also prevents rebounds. They aren't necessarily grabbing a ton of offensive rebounds to keep their opponents off the glass. Their opponents just have less chances to grab the rebounds.
So in conclusion, the Rockets' #1 problem is rebounding. That is where there problems stem from. My theory is that Dwight is ultra aggressive when playing defense, and this causes him to be out of position, and the other players on the team are failing to get his back and grab the board when he attempts to block shots. Could be due to players trying to run the fast break and not securing the rebound.
Secondly, Dwight's presence in the middle forces more outside shots. Outside shots = long rebounds. Long rebounds means it is more likely the offensive team can get the offensive rebound.
So what have we learned? Basically, the Rockets offense is really good. Their defense is actually surprisingly good, too. The Rockets having bad defense is a myth. Their problem is rebounding.
This post was edited on 11/26/13 at 11:03 pm
Posted on 11/26/13 at 7:24 pm to PrimeTime Money
Great post. All stats aside though we need to learn to close games. Pitiful so far but we need time to mesh. Still like what I see so far
Posted on 11/26/13 at 9:58 pm to texastiger7
They've played better since starting Jones at the 4.
Posted on 11/26/13 at 10:51 pm to PrimeTime Money
I love the look of this team. Barring any injuries, we can go far. Was hoping the Asik deal would be resolved by now though.
quote:
Turnover Ratio (# of turnovers per 100 possessions): 19.0 (30th)
Posted on 11/26/13 at 11:09 pm to PrimeTime Money
quote:
Opp PPS (Opponents' Points Per Shot): 1.13 (4th) Only Indiana, San Antonio, Chicago ahead.
This.
That is the important stat.
Posted on 11/26/13 at 11:09 pm to PrimeTime Money
quote:
Their problem is rebounding.
Which is ironic because we were beast rebounders with the Asik/Howard lineup but went to shite on all else.
Posted on 11/27/13 at 12:00 am to PrimeTime Money
The problem isn't rebounding. The problem is terrible perimeter defense. Man penetrates, center has to come over and help and this leaves the other team's big open for a rebound. Our style of play on offense also plays into this. Instead of crashing the boards, we try and get out and run. Other teams also attempt a ton of 3s against us (I think the most). This leads to more long rebounds. We're also last in forcing turnovers.
I've been saying since we got Dwight that if we trade Asik it should be for a perimeter defender. Wes Matthews or Batum would be ideal. I doubt Portland wants to mess with their team right now though. If only we would have drafted Leonard over Marcus Morris
I've been saying since we got Dwight that if we trade Asik it should be for a perimeter defender. Wes Matthews or Batum would be ideal. I doubt Portland wants to mess with their team right now though. If only we would have drafted Leonard over Marcus Morris
Posted on 11/27/13 at 4:16 pm to ZTiger87
quote:
I've been saying since we got Dwight that if we trade Asik it should be for a perimeter defender. Wes Matthews or Batum would be ideal. I doubt Portland wants to mess with their team right now though. If only we would have drafted Leonard over Marcus Morris
The Dumpster Fire 2.0 aka "The New York Short-Shorts" may want to start ridding themselves of all these random pieces they have like Iman Shumpert who is supposedly a good perimeter defender. We need some more effort for the current guards though. Harden is pretty much the only one that legitimately needs to step up his defensive game, especially because its obvious we aren't dependent on his offensive abilities like we were with T-Mac/Yao. Parsons, Howard, Casspi, Lin, Brooks, and even T Jones can all get solid enough offense where Harden doesn't need to slack off on the defensive end.
Posted on 11/27/13 at 5:14 pm to ZTiger87
quote:That's just basketball. That happens with every team.
The problem isn't rebounding. The problem is terrible perimeter defense. Man penetrates, center has to come over and help and this leaves the other team's big open for a rebound.
Ever heard of the "Dwight effect"? When Dwight Howard is on the floor, teams shoot less close-range shots against him than any center in the league. Teams settle for more mid-range and long jumpers when Dwight is the center. He is the best shot deterrent in the league.
Dwight doesn't just "help" on defense like most centers... Dwight covers a lot of area and will jump as high as he can to block shots. This gets him WAY out of position compared to most centers.
The positives are that he blocks shots sometimes and he forces players to change their shot and they miss more. The bad thing about this is that other players need to fill in to get the rebound. That's something they need to work on.
Either that or Dwight has to pick his battles better. He can't be trying to swat everything within 10 feet of the basket.
Posted on 11/27/13 at 5:16 pm to tiggerthetooth
quote:I think a lot of Harden's bad defense had to do with his foot injury.
The Dumpster Fire 2.0 aka "The New York Short-Shorts" may want to start ridding themselves of all these random pieces they have like Iman Shumpert who is supposedly a good perimeter defender. We need some more effort for the current guards though. Harden is pretty much the only one that legitimately needs to step up his defensive game, especially because its obvious we aren't dependent on his offensive abilities like we were with T-Mac/Yao. Parsons, Howard, Casspi, Lin, Brooks, and even T Jones can all get solid enough offense where Harden doesn't need to slack off on the defensive end.
The first couple of games he certainly was giving more effort on defense than last year.
Then he got hurt and I guess he decided he would be lazy on defense.
Hopefully when he comes back he's good and healed and will give effort on defense again.
Posted on 11/27/13 at 6:38 pm to PrimeTime Money
quote:
Hopefully when he comes back he's good and healed and will give effort on defense again.
Said he's doubtful for tonight….I say lets have him sit until he can for sure says he's better and there are no lingering issues with the foot.
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