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re: Jags would be 17.5 pt favorites over Alabama

Posted on 10/3/13 at 10:57 am to
Posted by PrimeTime Money
Houston, Texas, USA
Member since Nov 2012
27325 posts
Posted on 10/3/13 at 10:57 am to
quote:

The first round produces an average of 24 starters that break into the line up within the first year. The second round produces 16 starters that are ready to play within 2 years. The third round produces 9.6 starters that are ready to play by their third season. So, you can see how hard it is to fill 22 starting spots with college guys. NFL GMs are the best in the business and they hit on less than 1/3rd of their draft picks and only 62.5% in the first two rounds. Meanwhile, the Jaguars has a team with 22 NFL starters.
So out of the first round picks, 24 of them will be starters in the NFL in their rookie seasons.

Second round has 16 within 2 years. That means some will be starting in their rookie seasons.

So that means there are 24+ players coming out of college that are starters in the NFL right out of college. Not just starters on the Jaguars. But starters on all kinds of teams... Packers, Texans, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, etc.

Many of the Jaguars players who start aren't even starting-caliber players. They are starters by default because their team is so bad.

Because the college all-star team would be young, they would make "rookie mistakes". But they would be just as talented and athletic (if not more) than most of the Jaguars starters.

To say they couldn't compete with the Jaguars is ridiculous.
This post was edited on 10/3/13 at 10:59 am
Posted by Walking the Earth
Member since Feb 2013
17260 posts
Posted on 10/3/13 at 11:47 am to
quote:

To say they couldn't compete with the Jaguars is ridiculous.



A college all star team composed of players from many different teams, coaches and systems, thrown together and given, say, four weeks to train wouldn't be able to compete. Too much unfamiliarity.

If we're talking about the Jags, it wouldn't be a shutout because a) the team in general, and Gabbert in particular, truly does suck and b) the DBs can probably freelance and make a play or two. But it would get ugly because even the Jacksonville Jaguars have pride and they're not letting the college kids get within 20.
This post was edited on 10/3/13 at 11:48 am
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85136 posts
Posted on 10/3/13 at 11:50 am to
Yes, out of the first round picks, 24 will be starters by the end of the first year.

But that in no way, shape, or form guarantees that you can make a roster with those 24. How many will be LBs? OL or Centers?

That is the problem. You cannot just look at the numbers and say 24 starters means will can fill 22 starting spots on our team.

Posted by CBandits82
Lurker since May 2008
Member since May 2012
54194 posts
Posted on 10/3/13 at 1:14 pm to
quote:

To say they couldn't compete with the Jaguars is ridiculous.


The retard in this thread is approaching legendary status.

I RA'd for a sticky, we are all witnesses
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