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re: Jags would be 17.5 pt favorites over Alabama
Posted on 10/3/13 at 10:30 am to slackster
Posted on 10/3/13 at 10:30 am to slackster
LINK
According to the link above, the average NFL draft of 224 picks produces 71 eventual NFL starters.
The first round produces an average of 24 starters that break into the line up within the first year.
The second round produces 16 starters that are ready to play within 2 years.
The third round produces 9.6 starters that are ready to play by their third season.
So, you can see how hard it is to fill 22 starting spots with college guys. NFL GMs are the best in the business and they hit on less than 1/3rd of their draft picks and only 62.5% in the first two rounds.
Meanwhile, the Jaguars has a team with 22 NFL starters.
According to the link above, the average NFL draft of 224 picks produces 71 eventual NFL starters.
The first round produces an average of 24 starters that break into the line up within the first year.
The second round produces 16 starters that are ready to play within 2 years.
The third round produces 9.6 starters that are ready to play by their third season.
So, you can see how hard it is to fill 22 starting spots with college guys. NFL GMs are the best in the business and they hit on less than 1/3rd of their draft picks and only 62.5% in the first two rounds.
Meanwhile, the Jaguars has a team with 22 NFL starters.
Posted on 10/3/13 at 10:33 am to slackster
Exactly. Some people aren't appreciating how much talent is present even on an NFL bottom feeder.
Don't judge a NFL team for losing to other NFL teams.
Don't judge a NFL team for losing to other NFL teams.
Posted on 10/3/13 at 10:57 am to slackster
quote:So out of the first round picks, 24 of them will be starters in the NFL in their rookie seasons.
The first round produces an average of 24 starters that break into the line up within the first year. The second round produces 16 starters that are ready to play within 2 years. The third round produces 9.6 starters that are ready to play by their third season. So, you can see how hard it is to fill 22 starting spots with college guys. NFL GMs are the best in the business and they hit on less than 1/3rd of their draft picks and only 62.5% in the first two rounds. Meanwhile, the Jaguars has a team with 22 NFL starters.
Second round has 16 within 2 years. That means some will be starting in their rookie seasons.
So that means there are 24+ players coming out of college that are starters in the NFL right out of college. Not just starters on the Jaguars. But starters on all kinds of teams... Packers, Texans, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, etc.
Many of the Jaguars players who start aren't even starting-caliber players. They are starters by default because their team is so bad.
Because the college all-star team would be young, they would make "rookie mistakes". But they would be just as talented and athletic (if not more) than most of the Jaguars starters.
To say they couldn't compete with the Jaguars is ridiculous.
This post was edited on 10/3/13 at 10:59 am
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