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re: Sorry, but Payton should have gone for the first down there

Posted on 9/9/13 at 10:18 am to
Posted by Brightside Bengal
Old Metairie
Member since Sep 2007
3884 posts
Posted on 9/9/13 at 10:18 am to
87% Win Rate whether you convert or not

This article bears out with actual statistics why we should have gone for it on the final 4th down.

Posted by DelU249
Austria
Member since Dec 2010
77625 posts
Posted on 9/9/13 at 10:38 am to
We 100% won the game an the falcons would have 100% kicked a field goal to tie the game. I don't care what the statistics are league wide. In that game, getting the first or a TD was a 50/50 prop at best.

I can argue with statistics all day. I cannot argue with results.
Posted by Rex
Here, there, and nowhere
Member since Sep 2004
66001 posts
Posted on 9/9/13 at 11:29 am to
87% seals the deal, and, typically, the facts are on my side.

Many of the rebuttals here make no sense... they concede that Atlanta could have easily gone the 70 yards necessary to kick a long field goal but not 80 when a touchdown was necessary. And even then, the kicker would have had to split the uprights, the Saints would likely have had some time left to respond, and the worst case was overtime.

Like I said, the potential reward far outweighed the risks. Thank you for providing the link to prove it.
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