re: Am I the only person thinking Graham will have a down year...

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But is he worth a 2nd round pick in a 12 man draft?

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Yup. I just took him in the second round two nights in a row picking in the 6th and 8th spot. I'll give you the cores of both my teams to show you how I ended up at RB even with taking him in the 2nd...

Rodgers
MJD
D. Wilson
L. Miller
Garcon
Austin
Graham
J. Nelson
D. Richardson
V. Ballard

RG3
Charles
Bush
White
J. Nelson
D. Murray
Graham
Gronk
Hillman

The first team is with the 6th pick in a high scoring QB league (1 per 25, 6 per TD, and .5 per completion), so QBs are important. I went Rodgers/Graham to start, which is pretty much against every draft strategy in the book this year, but I came out with those three RBs.

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Everyone is going at RBs. Rather than reach at a position, pick up what everyone else is passing over.

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Yeah I usually don't follow runs. I'll grab another position in anticipation that they'll be the next to have a run.