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What just happened? Why'd the market fall and rebound so quickly today?

Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:23 pm
Posted by ThaBigFella
baton rouge
Member since Apr 2006
2043 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:23 pm
At lunch noticed a chart of tvix went from 2.81 to 3.15 and right back down in a matter of minutes....what caused a spike in the vix so quickly?
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:24 pm to
Someone hacked into AP's twitter account and posted that the white house was bombed and the President was injured.
Posted by OnTheBrink
TN
Member since Mar 2012
5428 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:27 pm to
I noticed that too... Cray cray...
Posted by OnTheBrink
TN
Member since Mar 2012
5428 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

Someone hacked into AP's twitter account and posted that the white house was bombed and the President was injured.


Holy shite, this was legit...
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135046 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

What just happened? Why'd the market fall and rebound so quickly today?



I sold all of my stocks and then bought back....
This post was edited on 4/23/13 at 12:32 pm
Posted by OnTheBrink
TN
Member since Mar 2012
5428 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

I sold all of my stocks and then bought back....








Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

I sold all of my stocks and then bought back....


Fastest fingers on the planet
Posted by OnTheBrink
TN
Member since Mar 2012
5428 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:32 pm to
It's amazing to me that one tweet has that much immediate effect on the markets...
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135046 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

Fastest fingers on the planet

TWSS

Posted by AUtigerNOLA
New Orleans, LA
Member since Apr 2011
17296 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

It's amazing to me that one tweet has that much immediate effect on the markets


I know. It shows you how much news (good or bad) has a big effect on the market.
Posted by Cold Cous Cous
Bucktown, La.
Member since Oct 2003
15372 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:36 pm to
Crazy shite, but I have to wonder about someone who makes his investment decisions based on the AP twitter feed?
Posted by OFWHAP
Member since Sep 2007
5416 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

Crazy shite, but I have to wonder about someone who makes his investment decisions based on the AP twitter feed?



I'm sure it was an HFT as opposed to an actual person. While I can't be 100% sure, I doubt traders are hanging out on twitter all day.
Posted by OnTheBrink
TN
Member since Mar 2012
5428 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

Crazy shite, but I have to wonder about someone who makes his investment decisions based on the AP twitter feed?


I was just coming to reply again and saw your post. Exactly, I mean could you imagine seeing that tweet and the first thing you think is "Holy shite, the end is here. Must withdraw all of my money now." I didn't realize there were that many of "them" out there to make that big of a difference on the market.
Posted by BennyAndTheInkJets
Middle of a layover
Member since Nov 2010
5858 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

I didn't realize there were that many of "them" out there to make that big of a difference on the market

Equity space is very, very full of HF algorithmic traders. However, dealers can still move the market more than anybody and HF guys aren't the big reason we had such a bounce today.

Want to go down the equity platform and HFT/quote stuffing rabbit hole? Click here and have fun.

ETA: Little clarity on the algorthim traders, there are some HF shops that have programs that scan news and immediately trade based on breaking news as soon as it hits the feed. They just code it to look for key nouns and verbs.
This post was edited on 4/23/13 at 12:45 pm
Posted by OnTheBrink
TN
Member since Mar 2012
5428 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

Click here and have fun.


Might as well be in Chinese.

quote:

They just code it to look for key nouns and verbs.


Interesting. Thanks for the reply.
Posted by BACONisMEATcandy
Member since Dec 2007
46739 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:49 pm to
From zerohedge: LINK
Posted by OnTheBrink
TN
Member since Mar 2012
5428 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:51 pm to
So, can anything be learned from this.

For example, I have a postition in XOM and GE, and both of those positions experienced the same downward spike. I noticed KO did as well. Those are the only ones I follow that spiked, but I am sure more did.

Is it safe to assume that HF's own a lot of each of those?
Posted by OFWHAP
Member since Sep 2007
5416 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:54 pm to
I think what he's saying is that the HFTs and dealers just hit SELL when this tweet came out.
This post was edited on 4/23/13 at 12:55 pm
Posted by OnTheBrink
TN
Member since Mar 2012
5428 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

From zerohedge


A comment under the article from "The Limerick King":

The market was crashed by a tweet

The algos just cannot be beat

A simple display

Of rules gone astray

And how HFT algos cheat

Posted by BennyAndTheInkJets
Middle of a layover
Member since Nov 2010
5858 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 12:54 pm to
ZH is a really good source when they link Nanex, EPFR, ICI, ISI, Strategas, Rosenberg, or a few other economists.

That article is case in point why there will always be human jurisdiction over equity markets. If that wasn't immediately bounced back, the physical exchange would halt trading, cancel the trades, then reopen. You can't just create Skynet and unhook the leash. The physical exchange would not cancel a set of large block orders from dealers unless it completely unraveled the market or it was started by a "flash" type scenario.
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