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I'm seeing a bargain with this stock, what am I missing?

Posted on 3/25/13 at 8:52 am
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69932 posts
Posted on 3/25/13 at 8:52 am
AA- Alcoa Aluminum. Now, forgive my Tennessee Bias, but $8.47 seems ridiculously low for this company, long term.

Am I missing something?
Posted by foshizzle
Washington DC metro
Member since Mar 2008
40599 posts
Posted on 3/25/13 at 8:54 am to
Probably. Keep hunting until you find it, the market isn't that dumb when it comes to a big company like Alcoa.
Posted by gizmoflak
Member since May 2007
11667 posts
Posted on 3/25/13 at 8:57 am to
Aluminum? Nah, plastics is where you wanna be. PLASTICS
Posted by donRANDOMnumbers
Hub City
Member since Nov 2006
16927 posts
Posted on 3/25/13 at 9:59 am to
From what I've read about it is that the technicals are fine, the market for metals is just completely saturated. Supposedly saturated through 2014.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126963 posts
Posted on 3/25/13 at 11:16 am to
quote:

but $8.47 seems ridiculously low for this company,

AA won't come back until (or, unless) aluminum prices ever recover.

While almost all other industrial metals prices are within 10-15% of their five-year highs, aluminum is selling 35-40% below where it was 5 years ago.

I owned AA for several years. I finally gave up on it last year when it hit $9+ for the first time in a while. I lost on it.....
Posted by matthew25
Member since Jun 2012
9425 posts
Posted on 3/25/13 at 12:40 pm to
I have been watching AA for awhile. Only 1.5% dividend. China subsidizes aluminum. Looks like a speculative play. Analysts are slightly bullish.
Posted by Mootsman
Charlotte, NC
Member since Oct 2012
6025 posts
Posted on 3/25/13 at 6:01 pm to
I bought it at 8.96 back in October. It has dropped a good bit in value lately and I kind of bought it at a trading ceiling but I think it will go up at least to 10.00 here in the next year. It pays a 1.50 dividend. The stock is down ultimately due to the forecasted aluminum demand which is projected to be down about 15% over the next 4 years. Can't be that low right? Everyone needs aluminum.
This post was edited on 3/25/13 at 6:04 pm
Posted by smilodonfatalis
Georgia 36,000 BP
Member since Sep 2012
375 posts
Posted on 3/26/13 at 7:04 am to
It's on my watch list.

It's a dow dog. Dow dogs, unless they in deep financial trouble, are the stocks to buy.
Posted by OnTheBrink
TN
Member since Mar 2012
5418 posts
Posted on 4/5/13 at 12:14 pm to
Can anyone explain this options graph for Alcoa to me in layman's terms?



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