re: February 26, 2013 Basketball, Hockey, Soccer, Baseball, Golf, Tennis Bet Thread

Oh, and sorry I didn't alert y'all to the presence of Free Money earlier. A nice little ROI of 1% was available via Davydenko/ Tipsarevic. I'll use $100 in my example to keep things round.


Risk 100 on Davydenko at +125 to win the match (win 125)
Risk 122.73 on Tipsarevic-1.5 games at -120 (win 102.27)

If Davydenko wins, you win 2.27.
If Tipsarevic wins by a margin of more than one game*, you win 2.27 as well.

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*It's not possible to win a tennis match by a margin of less than two games if you win in straight sets. HOWEVER...it can happen with a three set win, but it's rare. Probably about as rare as the more delightful scenario (in this instance) of the underdog winning the match outright, and the favorite covering the spread.**

**So in all likelihood, you made $2.27, but there are two other possibilities:

1. Tipsarevic wins 7-6, 6-7, 7-6....you lose $222.73 (everything you risked)

2. Davydenko wins 7-6, 2-6, 7-6...you win $227.27 (chicken dinner).

This would have been a bit more lucrative if 5 dimes had been offering reduced lines on the match. They weren't.