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re: Gold...why is it down?
Posted on 2/20/13 at 2:14 pm to wiltznucs
Posted on 2/20/13 at 2:14 pm to wiltznucs
quote:
Claiming that inflation is going to go up is like claiming that the sun will rise. At least we know that the sun will rise tomorrow and yet nobody can identify if and when inflation will set in and to what degree. The only thing we can say is that eventually the inflation claim will hold true even if its 20 years from now. Periods of inflation are a well documented part of history in the ebb and flow of the US economy.
What do you think inflation in the U.S. is? The official government value of 2-3% or more like 9-10% calculated by John William's Shadowstats.com?
Do you believe that hyperinflation is possible?
quote:
Perhaps I'm old school but the whole current gold phenomenon seems oddly tulip bulb like.
This makes absolutely no sense. Why? Tulip bulb like is when everyone is involved (i.e. dot com in late 90's/early 2000's, flipping real estate in early to mid 2000's). How many people do you know that actually invest in gold/silver/mining shares? 1%? 2%? 3%? 0.1%??? Gold is no where near a bubble now. It will be eventually, just like in 1980, but we're still not there. I'm holding on to my gold and silver until Time Magazine proclaims that gold is the investment of the century and has a cover with a Wall Street guy hugging a gold cast bull.
Posted on 2/20/13 at 2:29 pm to goodgrin
quote:
What do you think inflation in the U.S. is? The official government value of 2-3% or more like 9-10% calculated by John William's Shadowstats.com?
Do you believe that hyperinflation is possible?
I have greater faith in the established measures that have been used since the 1940's. No hyperinflation or sign of it yet...
LINK
I do believe that hyperinflation is possible, but I do not believe that it is predictable. If it were then every investment house would be in the arbitrage business.
quote:
This makes absolutely no sense. Why?
The core of the tulip bulb phenomenon was that there was for some time a never ending supply of irrational investors willing to buy tulip bulbs at a price higher than the seller actually paid for them. Like all things an asset eventually reaches a price where there are no buyers, be it tulips or Gold and the bubble bursts.
Just one man's opinion, I'm not assaulting one's choice to do Gold. It's just not for me...
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