re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?

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i dont think that will be enough to get us in the tourny this year because of the sec. However, I dont see how people have us at below 50 % for the nit.

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That's great.

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Conference is terrible. They'll be lucky to get 5 teams in

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And that's great.

I found my post from last year.

I was off on the .500 part. It's "a game above .500", and it's conference record that mattered, not overall.

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Over the last 10 years:

The SEC has failed to get AT LEAST 5 teams in twice (2010, 2009)

Over the last 10 years:

9-7 has been lower than 5th place once (6th place, 2006... you may recall, the SEC had two Final Four teams that year.) Some seasons, 9-7 can get you third, but 5th place is usually where it puts you.

Over the last 10 years:

71 of the 80 SEC tournament semi-finalists made the NCAAs. Of the nine that didn't make it, all but three had records below 9-7. The interesting thing is that those three semifinalists (with records 9-7 or better) came in the last three seasons: Alabama @ 12-4 last year, State at 9-7 in 2010, and Auburn @ 10-6 in 2009.

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And that was before last year's tournament.

Last season, the SEC only got four teams in (and Tennessee was the "odd man out" at 10-6 conference, 18-13 overall.) 3 of the 4 SEC tournament semifinalists made it to the NCAAs. (9-7 Alabama made it over 8-8 semifinalist Ole Miss.) I'm pretty sure if Tennessee would have made the semis, they would have gone to the tourney.

So, if LSU finishes above .500 in conference, and makes it to the semis of the tournament, they have a pretty good shot to make the NCAAs.

I think both of those are possible, though they'll have to hold home court and steal one on the road to get above .500.