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Started By
Message
3
Posted on 1/21/13 at 10:15 am to MOT
quote:
I would bet just about anything that LSU isn't done.
Posted on 1/21/13 at 10:49 am to MOT
We aren't favored for Willis, Goodman, Nkemdiche, Foster, Jackson, etc., and some of them are true longshots. The odds of us getting one specific player from that group are poor, but the collective odds of getting one of them are very good.
Posted on 1/21/13 at 10:52 am to GOP_Tiger
quote:
The odds of us getting one specific player from that group are poor, but the collective odds of getting one of them are very good.
Huh?
Posted on 1/21/13 at 11:07 am to DeltaDoc
No. We're not done.
Posted on 1/21/13 at 11:08 am to DeltaDoc
I would guess that we have chances that look like this:
Willis 35%
Nkemdiche 10%
Foster 10%
Jackson 25%
Goodman 5%
I'm not interested in debating these percentages, and they are certainly based on less info than possessed by many other posters on this board. If you focus on any one particular recruit, it is unlikely that we get that recruit. If you look at the group of recruits as a whole, though, it is likely that we end up pulling one from that group.
Willis 35%
Nkemdiche 10%
Foster 10%
Jackson 25%
Goodman 5%
I'm not interested in debating these percentages, and they are certainly based on less info than possessed by many other posters on this board. If you focus on any one particular recruit, it is unlikely that we get that recruit. If you look at the group of recruits as a whole, though, it is likely that we end up pulling one from that group.
This post was edited on 1/21/13 at 12:17 pm
Posted on 1/21/13 at 11:09 am to Summer of George
We'll sign 29 with 4 counting back.
Posted on 1/21/13 at 11:10 am to DeltaDoc
quote:
with Willis not visiting,
Wrong...
Posted on 1/21/13 at 11:18 am to GOP_Tiger
quote:
The odds of us getting one specific player from that group are poor, but the collective odds of getting one of them are very good.
odds of independent events don't add up to an overall probability of at least one of them occurring
This post was edited on 1/21/13 at 11:29 am
Posted on 1/21/13 at 11:27 am to MOT
I think LSU has all they will get in big time recruits and no doubt they have some good ones, i'm not gonna waste any more time on the wish players, just don't think they gonna come.
Posted on 1/21/13 at 12:15 pm to ForeLSU
quote:If my percentages were correct, we would have a 62% chance of getting one of them.
odds of independent events don't add up to an overall probability of at least one of them occurring
You are correct that you cannot add the percentages of independent events. To calculate the probability of getting at least one of them, first find the probability that we get none of them. That's .65 * .9 * .9 * .95 * .75 = .3751, which is 38%. That means that there is a 62% chance that we get at least one of them.
Posted on 1/21/13 at 1:36 pm to GOP_Tiger
Interesting
Posted on 1/21/13 at 2:00 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:
GOP_Tiger
quote:
You are correct that you cannot add the percentages of independent events. To calculate the probability of getting at least one of them, first find the probability that we get none of them. That's .65 * .9 * .9 * .95 * .75 = .3751, which is 38%. That means that there is a 62% chance that we get at least one of them.
Was there any doubt that someone smart enough to state this case would be a republican?
Posted on 1/21/13 at 2:03 pm to Penrod
Should have know i never was to sure about nkemdiche
Posted on 1/21/13 at 2:17 pm to GOP_Tiger
Nice statistical analysis 
Posted on 1/21/13 at 2:34 pm to Bear Is Dead
Anyone ever think when a player trolls and says LSU is in their top 2 or 3 but it's all smoke that LSU should pull their offer?
Posted on 1/21/13 at 3:28 pm to OlyTiger
Penrod and GOP the both of you better never stop posting on this site!
I have not laughed so hard it quite some time those posts were priceless!
This Class is awesome with no one else but I still think we get one more! Also, there is this kid...
LINK =
Again chances are pretty slim but Miles seems to always pull some signing day magic! I just wish he would pull some O-Coord magic as well.
I have not laughed so hard it quite some time those posts were priceless!
This Class is awesome with no one else but I still think we get one more! Also, there is this kid...
LINK =
Again chances are pretty slim but Miles seems to always pull some signing day magic! I just wish he would pull some O-Coord magic as well.
Posted on 1/21/13 at 3:56 pm to Dudebro2
Spears will be a 3 star & so was Brandon Lafell
Posted on 1/21/13 at 4:04 pm to redfieldk717
quote:
hes listed as an athlete but will likely play safety...4* kid out of florida, very good player. cant provide a link right now but will when i get to a computer
2* on Scout.
Posted on 1/21/13 at 4:10 pm to Penrod
quote:
Was there any doubt that someone smart enough to state this case would be a republican?
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