this is from sam at SGammo

I have what I pretty much want now unless a decent price comes around, but if the below happens I will stock up and be prepared for the next shift in the market.

Odds and ends, small scattered shipments, etc etc come through the week but the FMJ target stuff is very very scarce and the shipments are small. For example, in most of 2012 before November we received scheduled shipments of Aguila 9mm 124 FMJ, 1400 cases per month at special pricing for turning the volume of product that no one else wanted at the time. Since november we have had a total of about 180 cases of this ammo come and go and one shipment was 100 cases, so the other 80 were spread out into 5-10 case shipments every few weeks. And the special pricing is long gone and we paying about $70 to 100 more per case than before

The problem is simple, with demand through the roof from the gun control issues in the news there are masses of people willing to pay triple actual value of the popular stuff. Because that makes it profitable to sell ammo for a change as its normally something few will do because the percentage of mark up on the product is normally extremely shocking low. Now all of the "little dealers" take their sales reps allocations that they normally turn away and flip them for a quick double your money sort of investment. So now when there is a 1400 case truck load of Aguila 9mm show up at the wholesaler, the sales reps all get a share of it and divide up what they get to their customers who all buy because its easy money and a good percentage. This leaves nothing left but a small allocation for the bigger name internet-retailers you all know, so what we get in is a fractional percentage of what normally comes in and it sells in minutes because consumer are all worked up. Basically inventory is getting spread out to so many dealers that its almost like you never know it was there.

Its all text book supply and demand, and we saw the same thing in 2009. Things started slowing down in early summer and took another year after that for the market to truly bottom out, but when it did prices on a lot of ammo fell below summer of 2008 prices, so its certainly possible to see a big crash at the end of this

This post was edited on 4/29/13 at 11:40 pm