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re: Poz on Hamilton and Pujols

Posted on 12/19/12 at 12:55 pm to
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 12/19/12 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

i'm not a fan of WAR, so let's use OPS+ for players with at least 400 AB's. The last year we can get a five-year lookahead is 2006. So let's look at how the best 31 and 32 year olds in 2006 did in 2007-2012, to test your recency theory:

I took the top-5 31 and 32 year olds in OPS+ (with at least 400 AB) in 2006 and see how they did over the next five years. It's a rough way to get us to the top performing 31 and 32 year olds and how they did in the most recently completed five-year period.
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278674 posts
Posted on 12/19/12 at 12:58 pm to
So no thoughts on my examples?

You come up with a group of players based off how well they play in one particular season.

Did the fact Emil brown and Gary Matthews on your list not say "wait, this isn't going to make much sense."

Again I'm not saying players don't decline with age. But look at all the great players I listed and how they were able to continue to hit.
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