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re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 11/5/12 at 1:57 am to
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 11/5/12 at 1:57 am to
Robert Raymond Deuce One Leans:

Kent State-6 @ Miami(oh): Kent State has been getting their juggernaut on. Miami-oh is better at home; I'll give them that. But I don't know if that counteracts how much better Kent State is.

Minny-3 @ Illinois: When is Vegas going to figure out how bad Illinois is?

La. Tech-20 @ Texas State: La. Tech should score 50 without breaking a sweat. Texas State shouldn't be scoring 30.

Louisville-2.5 @ Cuse: What da funk is up with this line?

Western Michigan-3 @ Buffalo: Yeah, I guess the MAC is sort of my thing. And Western Michigan is DEFINITELY the best of the directional Michigan schools. And Buffalo just isn't that good.

San Jose State-22.5 @ New Mexico State: San Jose State is simply a covering machine.

Ole Miss-3 vs. Vandy: Let's not get all carried away with Vandy beating the funk out of Kentucky.

ND-18.5 @ Boston College: Boston College won't score, and ND shouldn't have any problem scoring against BC, who is just atrocious.

Oregon-27.5 @ Cal: is this the first half spread?

Tulane-1.5 @ Memphis: Tulane was beyond unspeakably atrocious for a while there, but they have really turned a corner since getting the Griffin kid back.

FSU-13.5 @ VT: Can VT score? Like at all?


You might be alarmed at the number of road teams I'm leaning on. But notice that the home team in those games is probably atrocious. My theory is that HFA doesn't mean a damn thing when a team can't score.
This post was edited on 11/5/12 at 8:49 am
Posted by Ghazi
Dallas Mavs 2011 NBA Champions
Member since Dec 2007
16121 posts
Posted on 11/5/12 at 2:38 am to
FSU has not covered a spread on the road all year... but VT is so bad.

Posted by Chef Leppard
Member since Sep 2011
11739 posts
Posted on 11/5/12 at 7:24 am to
quote:

Louisville-2.5 @ Cuse: What da funk is up with this line?


Looking closer, an interesting matchup on paper. Syracuse did put 30 on the Trojans early in the year before they were banged up. Back and forth records against common opponents. Real similar offensive numbers. Looks like the Cards just got a few breaks

More at stake for Cuse at home.? Such a small line still makes it hard not to like Charlie Strong tho
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 11/5/12 at 8:57 am to
quote:

Robert Raymond Deuce One Leans:

Kent State-6 @ Miami(oh): Kent State has been getting their juggernaut on. Miami-oh is better at home; I'll give them that. But I don't know if that counteracts how much better Kent State is.

Minny-3 @ Illinois: When is Vegas going to figure out how bad Illinois is?

La. Tech-20 @ Texas State: La. Tech should score 50 without breaking a sweat. Texas State shouldn't be scoring 30.

Louisville-2.5 @ Cuse: What da funk is up with this line?

Western Michigan-3 @ Buffalo: Yeah, I guess the MAC is sort of my thing. And Western Michigan is DEFINITELY the best of the directional Michigan schools. And Buffalo just isn't that good.

San Jose State-22.5 @ New Mexico State: San Jose State is simply a covering machine.

Ole Miss-3 vs. Vandy: Let's not get all carried away with Vandy beating the funk out of Kentucky.

ND-18.5 @ Boston College: Boston College won't score, and ND shouldn't have any problem scoring against BC, who is just atrocious.

Oregon-27.5 @ Cal: is this the first half spread?

Tulane-1.5 @ Memphis: Tulane was beyond unspeakably atrocious for a while there, but they have really turned a corner since getting the Griffin kid back.

FSU-13.5 @ VT: Can VT score? Like at all?



A couple others I"m thinking about:

UCF-12.5 @ UTEP: UCF just keeps covering for me.

Marshall-3 @ UAB: The C-USA is so bad that it's like Vegas hasn't quite figured out which teams are just kinda bad vs. which teams are atrocious. UAB is atrocious.

My favorite dogs:
Northwestern +11 @ Michigan
Penn State+7 @ Nebraska
Mizzou+3.5 @ Vols
Southern Miss+11.5 @ SMU: cripple fight
Posted by TigerBait2008
Boulder,CO
Member since Jun 2008
32481 posts
Posted on 11/5/12 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

Texas State shouldn't be scoring 30.



Didn't that shite team they played Sat score 30?
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